
Having Faced The Music, Now The Trojans Wait

USC’s late February court-type date has come and gone with little in↵the way of public payoff. Participants are barred from commenting↵publicly and the NCAA committee on infractions’ gears turn ponderously even when the cases are↵small and simple. USC’s case is not. USC’s case ↵requires↵the services of grunting bellhops: ↵↵⇥But there were signs from the hearings that make it highly improbable↵⇥U.S.C. football will leave this multimillion-dollar, four-year↵⇥investigation with a wrist slap. The first and most glaring hint came↵⇥from a hotel bellhop, who practically grunted while pushing an↵⇥industrial luggage cart full of documents out of the meeting room. There↵⇥were seven boxes on the cart, including a six-inch-thick binder labeled↵⇥U.S.C. Response Volume 1. ↵↵↵Poring through USC Response Volumes 1 through N will apparently take↵about two months. During that time, people associated with USC will↵provide voluminous quantities of “no comment” on the record.↵Off the record, they will assure everyone willing to listen that they↵are going to get off easy.↵
↵↵A couple months ago, that assertion seemed preposterous. Pete Carroll↵had suddenly↵and unexpectedly flown the coop for a Seattle Seahawks job that lacked the total control he had repeatedly claimed was necessary if he↵was to leave his perch as sultan of the country’s most consistently↵successful college football program. The USC basketball program had↵imposed a meaningful-if still↵too weak-postseason ban on itself. USC, which if free of sanctions↵is probably the best job in the country right this second, had to hire↵a↵neophyte with a career losing record to replace Carroll. And most↵damning of all, when USC asked the NCAA to self-apply sanctions like↵they did to the basketball program they↵were turned down. ↵
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↵Today the idea that USC could escape serious punishment is↵considerably more plausible. The Trojans brought in their usual array of↵uber-recruits. Seantrel Henderson may be spooked enough to forgo signing↵his letter of intent, but he's the only one. And though the fact that↵Reggie Bush was spectacularly ineligible has been meticulously↵documented by Yahoo! Sports, drawing a line between those documents↵and Pete Carroll is considerably more difficult. Maybe it's in those↵binders. Maybe not. Doctor↵Saturday sums up the issues: ↵
↵↵⇥↵⇥The most damning claim against USC is [Lloyd] Lake’s allegation in [Don] Yaeger’s↵⇥book that he was in the room with Bush’s stepfather as he discussed↵⇥the sketchy housing arrangement with Carroll over the phone. Other↵⇥evidence is similarly vague and circumstantial, such as various rumors↵⇥that coaches and administrators (including Carroll and athletic director↵⇥Mike Garrett, another former Heisman winner) were tipped off about↵⇥Bush’s arrangements, were well-acquainted with the sleazier elements on↵⇥the fringes of the program and were often in position to notice Bush and↵⇥his family spending well above their means. ...↵⇥
↵⇥↵⇥Even if you could prove that kind of chatter, it doesn’t amount to↵⇥much in the way of a smoking gun. So far, there is no firm evidence in↵⇥any published reports to date that anyone at USC had direct knowledge of↵⇥improper benefits to any football player, which probably means the NCAA↵⇥doesn’t have it, either.↵⇥
↵↵↵The NCAA’s response would seem to vary wildly based on what judicial↵standard they use. Is it certain that USC coaches had knowledge Bush↵was getting paid very large amounts of money? Probably not. This Lake↵guy has a clear motivation to strike back at the guy who took his money↵and ditched him for a real agent and the corroborating evidence is likely to↵be scant. But is it reasonable to believe that no one at USC noticed↵Bush driving a shiny new 2005 Impala around and wondered where the↵not-particularly-wealthy kid got it? That, too, gets a “probably↵not.” The NCAA is not a court and does not have to find something↵beyond a reasonable doubt. A lower standard for conviction is the Trojan↵hater’s best hope.↵
↵↵A lower standard and the ↵desire↵to make that much paperwork relevant, anyway:↵
↵↵⇥↵⇥[NCAA vice president for enforcement services David] Price also said that most times the committee met, it heard cases↵⇥from several universities, and this one was dedicated to U.S.C. In↵⇥contrast, Alabama’s case before the N.C.A.A. in 2002, which resulted in↵⇥five years of probation, a two-year postseason ban and crippling↵⇥scholarship reductions, took two days.↵⇥
↵↵↵That evidence is circumstantial in the extreme, but it’s all we’ve↵got until spring.↵
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This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.
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