Twitter is abuzz this evening with folks boasting about their proficiency as amateur bracketologists. Everyone can’t wait to tell the masses they correctly picked 64 out of the 65 teams selected “I correctly picked 64 of 65” or something similar. To which I would say...so what?
Your Grandmother Could Have Guessed 64 Of 65, Too
↵First of all, it’s not like you started at zero. Before you even put your guesses in you were working with 30 sure-thing automatic bids. So if we cross them off, now you’re talking about a field of 35 teams. Among those 35 teams, 27 of those teams are also sure things to make the tournament based on record, RPI, SOS and common sense. That’s a grand total of 57 teams out of a possible 65 that anyone with a modicum of college basketball knowledge can correctly predict will make the tournament.
↵That leaves eight tournament spots for you to make a guess about. Assuming you have common sense and read a lot of Dick Vitale’s fine written work, you’re going to correctly guess at least three of those teams. And so, that means even the least competant college basketball fan can correctly guess 60 out of the 65 teams selected any given year.
↵If you really want to impress me, correctly guess the seeds of 63 teams. Do that and I’ll give you a medal (theoretically).
↵Congrats on guessing 63, though. You’ve officially qualified for your own column on ESPN (half-joking).
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