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Soon, spring practice will start and people who follow college↵football will have something, anything to talk about other than↵conference realignment. But today is not that day. Today is the day when↵Notre Dame athletic director Jack Swarbrick talks at length about↵the shifting sands that D-I's last major independent finds itself dealing↵with, and drops this↵ND-fan-panic-inducing quote:↵
Notre Dame Was Feeling Left Out Of All The Expansion Talk, And Set About Fixing This
↵↵⇥↵⇥“You each could invent a scenario that would force our hand.↵⇥It’s not hard to do.”↵⇥
↵↵↵Of course, he also↵said this virtually simultaneously:↵
↵↵⇥↵⇥“While we’re paying attention [to realignment], we’re trying↵⇥like heck to maintain our football independence. It’s good for college↵⇥football and it’s great for Notre Dame. That’s our goal.”↵⇥
↵↵↵But if it makes Irish ears bleed, it leads.↵
↵↵I’m having a hard time envisioning a scenario that forces Notre Dame↵into a conference, actually. I’ve broached the idea that the Big East↵would defensively boot the Irish, leaving Notre Dame’s other sports↵homeless and choosing between the Big Ten-which is an attractive place↵to land but would insist on those gold helmet guys coming along-and CUSA↵or the Missouri Valley or something else, which would consign all but a↵few ND sports to hellish mid-majordom. (Niche sports like hockey and↵lacrosse don’t operate along the same conference lines as most other↵sports do.) ↵
↵↵But I sort of agree with “Frank The Tank,” a man who has↵dedicated every waking moment to conference realignment the past couple↵months, when he↵says that’s not happening: ↵
↵↵⇥↵⇥The other Big East Catholics absolutely fall all over themselves to↵⇥be associated with the nation’s preeminent Catholic sports program, so↵⇥that’s 7 votes against kicking out ND right there. Pitt has a↵⇥longstanding relationship with Notre Dame for football which it isn’t↵⇥going to mess with - I would imagine that ND would easily go back to↵⇥playing Penn State annually and drop its games with Pitt if the Panthers↵⇥ever supported kicking ND out. Syracuse and Rutgers are also↵⇥holding out hope for Big Ten invites. Since any kicking out of↵⇥Notre Dame could possibly nudge the Irish into the Big Ten and close off↵⇥that 12th conference spot forever, SU and RU aren’t going to want to do↵⇥anything to ND, either. Those are 10 schools right there that will↵⇥automatically support Notre Dame, which means that ND will be in the BE↵⇥as long as there is the current hybrid structure.↵⇥
↵↵↵That’s too certain to me. The Catholic stuff is mostly bluster. If↵Georgetown is faced with the potential loss of primary rivals Pitt or↵Syracuse, it would have a ton of motivation to give the Irish the↵heave-ho. Various other Catholic schools are going to have to make the↵same evaluation, and since they don’t have football their quick calculus↵for their bottom lines will be slanted towards the↵true basketball powers in the league. The calculus may end up sticking↵with ND. It may not. ↵
↵
↵But he's right that a team angling for a Big Ten invite won't vote to↵kick out ND, and it may or may not be in the interest of other football↵members to keep ND in. The Big East's bowl options are skimpy enough↵right now and that's with the possibility that ND will land in one of↵them propping up their value. ↵
↵↵So what’s the other scenario that forces ND into a conference? The↵BCS could yank Notre Dame’s special privilege to BCS bowls, but they can’t take away↵the school’s ability to get in altogether without facing a lawsuit they will↵lose like whoah. And given the way the BCS has fallen all over itself to↵take plainly↵undeserving ND teams whenever qualified, taking away that bonus↵access is a threat without teeth. I don’t see the scenario out there↵without something truly epic going down. ↵
↵↵Swarbrick, then, thinks something↵epic could go down:↵
↵↵⇥↵⇥“I think seismic is a possibility,” he said. “I don’t know where the↵⇥spectrum falls out. You have such an interesting media environment here.↵⇥It’s having such an impact on people. You have two conferences who have↵⇥separated themselves economically. And you have all the other↵⇥conferences lined up in successive years for broadcast negotiations.↵⇥That’s a tough situation for everyone in that position. The bar has been↵⇥set so high, and the media market is so tepid, that it creates↵⇥tension.”↵⇥
↵⇥↵⇥He added: “I’ve been in and around this business for 29 years now.↵⇥This is as unstable as I’ve seen it.”↵⇥
↵↵↵After all this, the Big Ten will add the University of Toronto and↵nothing will happen to anyone else. Book it. ↵
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This post originally appeared on the Sporting Blog. For more, see The Sporting Blog Archives.











