Sunday Shootaround

The Celtics are on the clock

by Paul Flannery

BOSTON — When Al Horford signed with the Boston Celtics last summer it signaled an important shift in their long-term rebuilding plan. In addition to being one of the most coveted players on the market, Horford was the first max free agent to ever sign with the Celtics. The era of plucky overachievement was over. Now it was time for results.

To be sure, no sensible person suggested that Horford’s addition alone would be enough to put the C’s over the top. He made his rep in Atlanta as a smart and savvy player who could anchor a defense, make shots, and offer a bit of everything else along the way. Horford came to Boston with the reputation as the consummate pro’s pro, a player both widely respected by his peers and appreciated by savvy NBA consumers.

In that, Horford has been everything the Celtics had hoped for when they signed him. He’s a calming influence on the floor and a respected leader off the court. He has become so readily absorbed within their team culture that he was named this year’s winner of the Red Auerbach Award, given to the player or coach who exemplifies the spirit of what it means to be a Celtic. For his part, Horford has been suitably impressed by his new team’s approach, noting their preparation and attention to detail.

“As young as the guys are, they prepare really well for games,” Horford said. “They know their coverages and they know what’s supposed to do on the floor. Obviously we’re all pros here, that’s what’s expected, but they really go above and beyond. That’s really impressed me with this group.”

On the court, his willingness to guard both stretch fours and traditional fives has been a godsend for the C’s smallball lineups. His ability to stretch the floor as a perimeter threat has opened up the paint for Isaiah Thomas to flourish and allowed the C’s to play five-out offensive basketball. His playmaking, long an under-appreciated part of his game, has also been an integral part of Boston’s scheme.

“He’s been a huge part of us,” coach Brad Stevens said. “His presence has been huge and contagious. I can’t say enough good things about him.”

Still, the adjustment process has not been without some rough patches. He endured a frightening concussion aftermath early in the season and many of his numbers have dropped a tick. There were defensive issues at the beginning of the season, mainly stemming from a lack of cohesion and a team-wide lack of effort.

Most concerning, however, has been the defensive rebounding problem that echoes the same issue that plagued Horford’s Atlanta squads. The Celtics rank 28th in defensive rebounding percentage and as Pat Riley famously once said, “No rebounds. No rings.” To be sure, the Warriors have an identical problem, but the Celtics don’t have their kind of star-power to cover up their weaknesses.

Pinning it all on Horford is easy, but also unfair. The Celtics play small a lot of the time and with Horford pulled away from the basket, there are no verified glass cleaners of the roster. They were a bad defensive rebounding team with much of the same personnel last season, as well.

In the end, the Celtics are clearly better both physically and spiritually with Horford than they were last year, which was the whole point of the signing. They have met, and even exceeded, expectations for this season.

All of that leads to a broader set of questions: How is it that we measure success in the NBA? What is the criteria we’re using? How is the worthiness of a season framed? These are trickier questions than you might imagine.

Another Rileyism holds that if you’re not in first place you’re in last. That may apply to the Golden States and Clevelands of the world, but it gets more complex the further down the list you go.

The Celtics are a prime example. They crossed the 50-win plateau for the first time in six years and will likely finish no lower than second in the Eastern Conference. Division titles are essentially meaningless, but passing the Raptors in the standings was a notable achievement.

There has been individual growth too, starting with Thomas, who is an All-NBA performer and possibly a top-five finisher in Most Valuable Player voting. Young veterans such as Jae Crowder, Avery Bradley, and Marcus Smart have thrived in their roles. They have received contributions from their younger set of players and even rookie Jaylen Brown has carved out a productive niche.

They have done all that while maintaining a clean cap sheet and all their assets, including what could be the top choice in this year’s draft. From a distance, the Celtics are in great shape both now and in the future.

So, why does all of this feel incomplete?

Certainly there are postseason expectations yet to be met. These Celtics haven’t won a playoff series in two tries and a third first-round exit would be, if not disastrous given their future viability, an abject disappointment. While they have been trending upward for three years, without a bevy of superstars on command they are no sure thing this spring.

Perhaps it’s because of the idea that something better lies just beyond the horizon. Given their draft assets and their array of favorable contracts they have been linked to just about every superstar bidding war in the league. Parsing Celtic trade rumors is a bit like playing telephone. Players have been involved, or maybe they haven’t. Draft picks have been considered or maybe they were never explicitly offered. It’s either been too much or not enough. It’s all a bit unsettling.

What we know is that the Celtics have beaten every playoff team in the East and most of the West at least once while taking care of business against the lower half. (In one of the league’s great unexplained mysteries, the Nuggets have their number for some reason.) Even if no one knows what they may be in the future, everyone seems to agree on what they are now. They are good, but not great; respected, but not feared.

Is that damning with faint praise or a tangible sign of progress?

There was an interesting chart that made its way around the basketball Internet earlier this week, courtesy of a poster named Positive Residual who writes for Nylon Calculus. The chart graffed each team’s net rating during the course of the season over 10-game increments. In other words, it offered a wide lens into how teams’ play trended over the course of the season.

The Celtics chart was among the most stable. There were periods of high-level play balanced by the occasion dip in performance. It was within those fluctuations one could point to an injury or a particularly tough part of the schedule. While the Celtics had their share of individual slumps and periods of lethargic disinterest, their issues were quite normal and fixable.

Their chart showed a team that played pretty well throughout the season with a nice uptick to finish the campaign. That’s more or less how you’d like things to go if you were Stevens, who refuses to look any further than that night’s game.

“I’m pretty close to living under a rock,” Stevens said. “We don’t talk big game, small game, we talk about the next game. I know that sounds really boring but that’s the way I look at it.”

In that sense the C’s chart was perfectly emblematic of Stevens’ approach. It contained none of the dizzying runs that teams like Toronto and Washington had at various points in the season. Nor did it have their free-falls either. With the exception of a handful of elite squads, almost every team in the league would gladly sign up for that kind of stable performance.

While there is much to appreciate about this Celtics’ season, one final question still lingers: Is that all there is?

After rolling through March with the top overall seed in the East within their grasp, the Celtics were blown out at home against Cleveland and dusted off the next night in Atlanta. They held off Charlotte on Saturday night for a much-needed victory but still gave up 111 points.

Both mid-week performances were disappointing, but the Cleveland game in particular could not have been more instructive. Here was the biggest game of the Celtics’ season in their home arena with everyone healthy, rested, and available and they were out of it by halftime. During the second quarter when LeBron James put the hammer down and the C’s offered little resistance, the game and the chase for homecourt were both effectively over.

LeBron’s performance in a game he clearly cared about personified the biggest fear for the Celtics, that they will be no different from Indiana, Atlanta, or Toronto or any of the other would-be contenders for James’ crown. All those teams had phenomenal regular seasons sullied by postseason struggles against lower-seeded opponents, and all of them ended in defeat against LeBron.

The Celtics are not those teams, of course. This is not the culmination of a long, rebuilding process but somewhere past the mid-way point. Who they are now and what they could be this summer might be radically different entities if they can land another top-flight free agent or finally pull-off a blockbuster trade.

Or maybe not. There is also the possibility that they could continue to build organically with youth while at the same time maintaining this solid core of players. It’s easy to get lost in all of the possibilities and permutations. It’s also a convenient distraction from the present.

As we head into the postseason, all of these questions will finally have an answer. For this version of the Celtics, however, the time for results is now.

The List Consumable NBA Thoughts

We all have our own subjective criteria for judging players. Sometimes a simple question gets lost in the equation: Who do we like to watch play? Here are five of my favorites this season.

Jae Crowder

Every team in the NBA could use Crowder, which is why his name pops up in every single trade rumor involving the Celtics. Because the C’s are in involved in nearly every rumor, Crowder’s name is out there a lot. And yet, he’s still in Boston playing the role that he was born to play. Crowder guards everybody from wings to bigs, often draws the toughest match-up, and has become a reliable 3-point shooter. He’s tough, he’s feisty, and he takes nothing from no one, even calling out the Garden fans who tend to serenade possible replacements/reinforcements when they come through Boston. You want a guy like that on your team.

Bradley Beal

The Leap is a time-honored tradition in the NBA and while some think of it as a third-year phenomenon, there is really no set timetable. In his fifth season, Beal has made The Leap. Always a gifted shooter, Beal is has transformed into a smooth, primary scorer. He’s averaging over 23 points a game with a solid bit of playmaking and a low turnover rate in the mix. That makes him a perfect complement to John Wall and together, one of the league’s most talented backcourts has finally jelled. Most importantly, Beal has finally put together a healthy season. All-Star appearances and All-NBA consideration await.

Jimmy Butler

The Bulls are a tough watch. With their sluggish offense and random assortment of characters, they often feel like they’re fighting themselves. That’s when they’re not fighting with each other. Butler continues to stand tall above the muck. Having already established himself as the best big guard in the conference, he slid over to forward to accommodate Dwyane Wade and excelled in that role. From Most Improved to All-Star to Olympian to top-10 talent, Butler just keeps getting better. It’s a credit to him and his work ethic that he continues to prosper amid trying circumstances. It would be nice to see him featured on a team that made sense of his abilities.

Rudy Gobert

In Gobert’s first season he was a fascination. In his second he was a phenom. Injuries derailed his progress last season, but this year he has arguably become (in his own words) the best center in the league. That’s an odd position to hold at the moment, given the league’s trend away from traditional big men who hold down the paint and block out the sun. Gobert is anything but traditional. He’s long, agile, and skilled. While not possessing the tantalizing talents of the Unicorns, Gobert has been just as productive, if not more so, given his defensive contributions. In his own way, Gobert has carved out a unique niche in the NBA ecosystem. The rewards are sure to follow.

James Harden

The word ‘control’ is the operative one here. Harden commands so many things within the Rocket system that he is always in control of everything. Possessions literally start and end with him and they always seem to have a purpose. The revelation from an aesthetic standpoint has been Harden’s passing. Let’s be clear: Harden was always a good passer. With the keys to Mike D’Antoni’s system at his disposal, Harden has become a joyous playmaker, setting up lobs for Clint Capela or kickouts to Ryan Anderson. Night in and night out, he’s been a treat to watch. Others may prefer the thrill of Russell Westbrook’s kamikaze calisthenics and that’s fine. To each their own. Harden has been my single favorite player to watch this season.

By The Numbers The stats that explain the week

18

In his 18th and final season, Paul Pierce has been reduced to end of the bench status appearing in just a handful of games. But Pierce has made peace with the end of his playing career and there was no sweeter moment this season than his game-ending triple in his final appearance in Boston. Pierce was never a regular season MVP and his playoff resume didn’t take shape until the second half of his career. Yet, Truth was a fantastic all-around player, and as good a late-game killer as any of his more celebrated peers. History will appreciate him more accurately than we did during his era. One thing is certain: The game won’t be as fun without his his old man tics.

21

When Kyle Lowry suffered a broken wrist somewhere around the All-Star Game, it looked like trouble for the Raptors. The Raptors didn’t just survive, they prospered in his absence, going 14-7 in the 21 games that Lowry missed including an 8-1 stretch before his return. Replacing K-Low has been a team-wide effort. Cory Joseph and Delon Wright picked up the point guard slack, the defense has been fantastic, and DeMar DeRozan dominated the scoring. A healthy Lowry makes the Raptors a conference finalist contender again. The only question is whether there’s enough time to integrate him back into the flow.

28

It’s been four years since the Sixers won this many games, and while 28 victories does not indicate a team on the rise, there is at last tangible on-court progress in Philly. As always, there’s been a ton of injuries to key personnel from Ben Simmons to Joel Embiid and free agent pickup Jerryd Bayless that stunted their growth. There have been positive developments however, notably Dario Saric’s play and the emergence of Richaun Holmes. The biggest difference for Brett Brown’s crew has been a feisty defense led by ace wing defender Robert Covington. The Sixers are still well-stocked for the lottery gods. Finally, there’s the beginning of a foundation too.

41

The triple-double has retained an mythic aura around it, conjuring images of all-around brilliance as personified by Magic Johnson and, of course, Oscar Robertson. As an accomplishment, the triple-double is both astounding and overrated. It’s an awesome collection of stats with an entirely random criteria. The pursuit of triple-doubles can also lead to stat-hogging selfishness, even when pursued under the best of intentions. And yet. Russell Westbrook has recorded Forty Freaking One triple-doubles this season, tying Oscar for the most ever in a single season. The sheer mass of numbers is impressive in any context, as is OKC’s 32-9 record when he attains one.

75

It was only a year ago when people were wondering if Anthony Davis was going to be that dude. Sure, he had an excellent season statistically, but it wasn’t the kind of of bust-out dominance that many expected, and it came with yet another round of injuries. AD’s been more or less healthy this season, appearing in a career-high 75 games and his production has risen with those increased minutes. He’s still just 24 years old and once again looking like the kind of transformative talent so many of us have projected for him.

Say What? Ramblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

“The idea that the NFL would make more money with 82 games is absurd. Shorter schedule increases the importance of each game, which drives TV ratings, which drives the lion’s share of money for most top pro leagues.”

Rockets GM Darryl Morey to ESPN’s Tom Haberstroh.

Reaction: This is the crux of the issue. Can the league figure out a way to generate sufficient revenue from a shortened season to cover, or even exceed, the cost of reducing the schedule? If they can thread that needle, there is no reason other than nostalgia to carry on with 82 games.

“It’s remarkable consistency, but we have bigger goals obviously. But it’s something to be proud of. It’s not easy to do. It’s a long season. We should all be proud of it but not settled.”

Golden State guard Klay Thompson after wrapping up the top overall seed again.

Reaction: The Warriors have spoiled us. In attaining the top overall playoff seed for the third straight season, they matched the Larry Bird Celtics’ run from 1983-86. We’re talking three decades here, people. They’re also the only team to win 65 games in three straight seasons and here we’re taking ever. What they’ve done is remarkable in any context.

“And I can say this without blinking, that what Russell Westbrook has done truly — even (though James) Harden is close to him — but what he’s done, he’s got to be the MVP of the league.”

Oscar Robertson to USA Today’s Sam Amick.

Reaction: The Big O didn’t win the MVP when he averaged a triple double in 1962. He finished third behind Bill Russell and Wilt Chamberlain. (That was the year Wilt averaged over 50 points a game, by the way.) That should neither be a precedent nor a determining factor in this year’s race, but it is interesting that the notoriously hard-to-please Robertson is all aboard the Russ express.

“There’s definitely a nostalgic part about it and a cool story. But I think after all that’s said and done, it becomes a straight competition. That’s kind of what we’ve done our whole lives. It’s amazing how fast 30 years go by.”

Chris Mullin on Patrick Ewing joining him on the Big East sidelines.

Reaction: If you grew up in the northeast in the ‘80s you grew up on the Big East. Whether it was Hoya Paranoia, Lou Carnesecca’s hideous sweater, or 30,000 people in the Carrier Dome rocking to the Pearl, the conference had something for everyone. I’m not sure any of us ever envisioned a day when Mullin and Patrick Ewing would be coaching their respective schools, but it sure does make for a delightful nostalgia trip.

“Whether its school choice or vouchers, there’s countless issues about why 140, 160 kids who were thriving, will now go into another pool. And what happens with them?”

Hall of Fame coach Bob Hurley on the closing of St. Anthony.

Reaction: If you know about basketball, you know all about the legendary program that Hurley built in Jersey City. If you want to know more about the school’s mission, you should check out Adrian Wojnarowski’s terrific book about the program. If you want to know why it matters, think about those kids who just lost their school.

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