Sunday Shootaround

How to enjoy March Madness as an NBA partisan

by Paul Flannery

The cold war between NBA heads and college basketball believers needs to thaw. At the very least, it could use a 20-second timeout.

The two have always been distant, bickering cousins. Go back through the decades and you’ll find cranky scribes and wizened NBA fans rolling their eyes at March Madness. The complaints then are the complaints now: the game is too slow, the spacing is too limited, the refs are too inconsistent, and my god, can we have a possession without a cutaway to some middle-aged dude with a clipboard hyperventilating on the sideline?

Lately, however, it feels like we’ve crossed a Rubicon from ironic NBA detachment to out and out disdain. It doesn’t have to be that way. Yes, the college game is not like the NBA game, but it doesn’t have to be the NBA. It can exist on its own terms.

It’s true that there are those of us old enough to remember a more prosperous time in college basketball. Way back when the NCAA Tournament meant Georgia Tech’s Lethal Weapon 3, Arkansas’ 40 Minutes of Hell, the Runnin’ Rebels of UNLV, and pre-championship Duke Blue Devils all competing in the same Final Four back.

There were no less than a dozen future first-round picks on those rosters (shoutout to Malcolm Mackey and Oliver Miller) with each participant sending multiple players on to the pros. Compare that to last season when there were three first-rounders total among the Final Four teams.

Far from an aberration, that combination of individual talent and iconic teams was a common occurrence back in the day. Where we used to watch players develop over time, now it’s an ever-changing personnel proposition. Even for the same power programs that load up on one-and-done recruits year after year. Things change.

But, here’s a little secret for NBA snobs. A week of cramming reveals that this year’s final college exam will be fun. There’s a bevy of point guards, athletic wings with diverse skill sets, and developing bigs with first round dreams. Many of those prospects are scattered among the tournament favorites, offering the possibility of some amateur advanced scouting before the draft.

There are also a number of good, veteran clubs that have been together for years and play like it. What Villanova, Virginia, and Cincinnati lack in top-end NBA talent, they make up for with steady play and exacting defenses.

That contrast between experience and young talent now lies at the heart of the Tournament. Nova’s Josh Hart may never be a star in the NBA, but he and the Wildcats have a legitimate chance at repeating for the first time in almost a decade.

With all that in mind, here’s an NBA-centric, player-focused guide to enjoying the Tournament. It won’t kill you, even if the endless timeouts and noxious parade of corporate champions may test your patience.

First, a word about who won’t be playing next week. Markelle Fultz, the presumptive top pick in this summer’s draft, saw his college career end with a whimper. Despite his many talents, his Washington Huskies team was decimated by early defections and never had a chance in the Pac-12. Scouts and talent evaluators aren’t holding that against him. In the words of one, Fultz just does everything well.

The other hot prospect sitting out March Madness is Dennis Smith. A turbo-charged point guard from NC State, Smith put on a show against Duke earlier this winter, but wound up exiting stage left following an uninspired showing in the ACC Tournament. That’s a pity because Smith is one of the more exciting freshmen in this year’s loaded point guard class.

That leaves UCLA’s Lonzo Ball as the man of the moment. He’s a unique player with a busted shot who still manages to carve up defenses with his uncanny passing ability. One of the cool things about Ball is that his unselfish play has transformed the Bruins from an also-ran into a finely-tuned offensive machine. (Defense appears to be optional and often comes in the form of a zone, but we can’t have everything.) Ball is a phenom, the one player you really have to see this week.

My favorite freshman point guard, however, is Kentucky’s De’Aaron Fox. Fellow frosh Malik Monk gets a ton of attention for his scoring ability, but Fox makes the Cats get up and go. He can’t shoot from distance, but Fox is a crafty scorer who can navigate into space. He’s also an awesome on-the-ball defender.

Monk, meanwhile, is one of the best pure scorers in the country. He may have to transition to combo guard status in the pros, but his athleticism and range make him a likely lottery pick along with Fox. With the wonderfully named big man Bam Adebayo patrolling the paint, Kentucky has its usual array of first-round prospects.

The point guard class thins out after that (Frank Ntilikina from France is also a likely lottery pick), but there are a number of quality veterans who always seem to emerge as March heroes. Iowa State’s Monte Morris is your dad’s favorite player. The senior almost never turns it over. Oklahoma State’s Jawun Evans is a delight. He’s the diminutive linchpin for The Cowboys’ high-octane offense.

Depending on how you classify Monk, there’s not a lot of top-end shooting guards in this year’s class. Louisville’s Donovan Mitchell is the one to watch here. He’s a classic Louisville guard who plays bigger than his size and has athleticism to spare.

The other main area of lottery competition takes place on the wing with three highly-touted freshman vying for a spot in the top five. You could not find three more different prospects.

Josh Jackson may be the most complete of the three. The Kansas freshman is an excellent passer, especially out of the pick-and-roll as a smallball four. His shooting can be a bit erratic (including an unsightly 56 percent free throw percentage), but he can score and he’s a tough defender.

Jackson is also hyper-competitive — he once trash-talked Gary Payton in high school — and that can spill over on the court. Off the floor, he was charged with misdemeanor property damage after allegedly damaging a female student’s car. He was also suspended for the first game of the Big 12 Tournament for a separate incident. (There’s a lot going on at Kansas.)

Duke’s Jayson Tatum is a terrific isolation scorer, combining solid footwork and length to score over the top of defenders. Tatum’s been overshadowed at times by the emerging Luke Kennard (he’s good!) and the ongoing Grayson Allen chronicles, but Tatum put together a strong ACC Tournament. He may not have Jackson’s upside, but he’s a year younger.

Then there’s Florida State’s Jonathan Isaac, an athletic freak with projection written all over his long, skinny frame. At the very least, Isaac should be a phenomenal defender in the pros when he puts on weight. He’s already a good rebounder and excellent cutter. You can dream big on Isaac.

The old man of the group is North Carolina junior Justin Jackson, who returned to school after last year’s wrenching loss in the championship game to Villanova. Jackson needed to improve his range and he became a solid 3-point shooter en route to ACC Player of the Year honors. Jackson’s moved up the draft boards and that climb could continue if Carolina has another solid run.

The bigs are a mixed bag. The only true center with lottery potential in the Tournament is Creighton’s Justin Patton. A late-bloomer who redshirted his freshman year, Patton is skinny but long, and is an excellent finisher at the rim. Jarrett Allen from Texas and Robert Williams from Texas A&M will not be invited, unfortunately.

The top-rated four man is Arizona’s Lauri Markkanen, who is a tremendous long-range shooter. He’s not just a spot-up threat. The Wildcats run a bunch of different actions for him, both off screens and in the pick-and-roll. There aren’t many 7-footers like him.

Playing the role of versatile Michigan State forward this year is Miles Bridges, who has hung around the lottery pack. Wake Forest sophomore John Collins is a super-efficient scorer and Gonzaga freshman Zach Collins is the the definition of intriguing, even with a limited role. Baylor’s Johnathan Motley emerged this season as one of the best forwards in the country, and could be in line for a late rise.

One player to keep an eye on further down the rankings is SMU’s Semi Ojeleye. The Duke transfer has had a breakout season for the season’s biggest surprises. He’s strong and skilled and if he were three inches taller he’d be a lottery pick. Ojeleye does a little bit of everything for the Mustangs. At the very least he’s an awesome college player.

There’s plenty here for the NBA fan to enjoy. Why not try holding the sarcasm in check and giving college ball another chance? You might even like it.

The List Consumable NBA Thoughts

Since we’re talking about the draft, let’s check in on last year’s selections. It’s not pretty. Top pick Ben Simmons is out for the season and only nine draftees have played as many as 1,000 minutes. There is no standout member of this class, yet, but there are some encouraging developments for the maligned class.

Brandon Ingram

The Kevin Durant comps were always grossly unfair, and Ingram is finding out just how tough it is to play in the NBA with such a skinny frame. His defense has been about what you’d expect from a thin 19-year-old, but Ingram has really struggled with his shot. The good news is that his elevation to the starting lineup on Feb. 6 has produced positive signs. Ingram’s averaging about 10 and 4 as a starter and his shooting has improved from dreadful to solid. That’s decent progress even if he hasn’t lived up to the hype.

Jaylen Brown

It’s a measure of how shallow this draft was that Brown was considered a development project when he was taken third. Yet, he’s become a vital part of the Celtics’ nine-man rotation picking up spot starts and logging about 20 minutes a game. Brown’s season numbers are pedestrian: six points and three boards per outing — but he’s kicked it up several gears since the All-Star Break giving the C’s 12 points, 5 boards, and red-hot shooting. Throughout the season, Brown has shown solid range, tough defense, and enough flashes of high-flying brilliance to suggest there’s a lot more to develop.

Marquese Chriss

No one flew up draft boards quicker than Chriss, who was a fringe prospect as a freshman and then moved into the lottery where the Suns took him with the eighth pick. While rawer than uncooked kale, Chriss has held down a starting role since early November. That places his development curve ahead of fellow lottery choice Dragan Bender. In between spasms of awesomeness, Chriss has improved slowly, if not spectacularly. Like the other rookies on this list, he’s been more productive down the stretch. A 17-and-7 night against the Bulls and a 10-and-6 effort against the Celtics with 5 blocks were particularly noteworthy.

Buddy Hield

Maybe the Kings were right about Hield, after all. Since arriving in Sacramento as the centerpiece to the controversial DeMarcus Cousins trade, Hield’s been averaging 13 points in 24 minutes with a .673 True Shooting Percentage. The Steph Curry comps are, of course, ridiculous. He’s not nearly in Curry’s class as a ballhandler or playmaker, let alone as a shooter, but who is? This version of Hield is more like the player we thought we would see this season. That’s a big improvement over his brief New Orleans tour.

Jamal Murray

The Nuggets have been using Murray as a point guard lately, which is an interesting development tact. While he played off the ball at Kentucky, Murray was a point guard in high school. Given Emmanuel Mudiay’s struggles coupled with the emergence of Gary Harris as the starting off-guard, there’s certainly an opening at the position. The sometimes derisive term here is “combo guard,” but the Nuggets have an interesting amount of positional versatility on their roster and the 19-year-old has been quietly decent for most of the season.

By The Numbers The stats that explain the week

1

It’s a small sample size, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank first in points allowed per 100 possessions since the All-Star Break. This is the clearest sign that the young pups are picking up what Tom Thibodeau has been preaching since training camp. The switch actually began right before the break and also includes a 142-point letdown against the Rockets. In between the Wolves have been playing lockdown defense. This remarkable shift has left them lurking on the fringes of the playoffs.

5

After a murderous stretch that features five road games in eight days, the Blazers will return home with 10 of their final 13 contests at the Moda Center. If Portland can survive this road trip, which includes three sets of back-to-backs, they might be in position to steal that last playoff spot in the West. That’s a mighty big ask for one of the season’s most disappointing teams. But they Blazers have played better since the All-Star break and new addition Jusuf Nurkic has been a force.

6

Dirk Nowitzki joined the exclusive scoring list when he passed 30,000 points for his career on Tuesday. The others: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Karl Malone, Michael Jordan, Kobe Bryant, and Wilt Chamberlain. (The incomparable Julius Erving also passed 30K career points when you add in his ABA totals.) How great is this accomplishment? Consider that among active players, only LeBron James is a definite to join the club. Carmelo Anthony could get there, but he’s at least four years away. Kevin Durant has yet to crack 20,000 and even Russell Westbrook is barely halfway to the milestone. Long live Dirk.

21

Following a loss to the Bucks back on Jan. 13, the Heat were 11-30 and headed to the lottery. Since then they’ve reeled off 21 victories and put themselves on the cusp of an unlikely playoff berth. This can no longer be considered a fluke, even if it looks beyond belief on paper. Credit Erik Spoelstra with one of the league’s great coaching jobs, and direct all praise to unlikely heroes such as Dion Waiters, Rodney McGruder, and James Johnson among many others.

86

Only once during the Steve Kerr era had the Warriors been held to 86 points or fewer and that was last March when the Spurs unveiled their switch-everything plan. This time it was the Celtics who put the clampdown on Golden State in the second half of a victory in Oracle. Caveats abound — Kevin Durant is hurt, the Warriors had just come off a long road trip — but this was the kind of defensive performance the C’s prided themselves on last season and has been in short supply during this campaign.

Say What? Ramblings of NBA players, coaches and GMs

“The three, you know Harden makes threes, Kawhi makes threes, this guy makes threes, that guy makes threes, Steph makes threes, everyone does that,. But I don’t know who goes to the other end and does what [Leonard] does. Not that many people on a consistent basis, an entire game, game after game. Kawhi wanted it badly, and he went and took it.”

Spurs coach Gregg Popovich.

Reaction: Did you see what Kawhi did? He didn’t just drain a go-ahead 3 and then chase down a block against Harden at rim, he completely dominated the last few minutes. That takeover ability is the last piece to the Kawhi franchise player puzzle. He’s been in the MVP discussion all season, but has rarely been seen as a favorite. This was the moment that will lead to a proper assessment.

“I wasn’t motivated to move Paul George at the deadline. I can’t remember if it was even brought up or not. I don’t think it was. It’s all fake news anyway. You know that. Somebody’s gonna start it and just was a snowball effect. [The phone call] was not about Paul George.”

Pacers president Larry Bird to the LA Times on his call with Laker counterpart Magic Johnson.

Reaction: First of all, how cool is it that Bird and Magic are running teams? Second, despite Bird’s protests, The Summer of George will still be a major storyline.

“I heard a break. As soon as the collision happened I heard a break. When I went over to him and he said it I already knew, I heard it crack.”

LeBron James on the injury to Andrew Bogut.

Reaction: Gross. Bogut’s out for the rest of the season and the Cavs will reportedly waive him soon. While we are thus denied the delicious subplot of Bogut playing against his former teams in the Finals, the Cavs can withstand his loss with their multiple smallball options. He sure would have helped against such potential playoff foes as Andre Drummond, Dwight Howard, Jonas Valanciunas, and Marcin Gortat.

“What I’m supposed to do? Settle for mediocrity and stay in a .500 mode and not do anything and just be OK with that? That’s the problem with the whole image of this group is that that’s been OK, and if we’re underdogs and we don’t win it, that’s OK. No. I won’t settle for that. I’ll continue to shuffle until I find something that works best to give us the best chance to hold the trophy. And if people don’t like it, they can kiss my ass.”

Memphis coach David Fizdale.

Reaction: Fizdale took Tony Allen out of the starting lineup, along with JaMychal Green and cut Zach Randolph’s minutes in a loss to the Nets. Messing with Grit ‘n Grind is the third rail in Grizzly basketball, but Fizdale has earned high marks for opening up the Memphis offense and installing Z-Bo as a bench scorer. Unfortunately they were crushed again in a loss to the Clippers.

“The first time I got one, I wasn’t even where I’m at now, and I even had to call my old lady and say, ‘Yo, I’m sorry you had to be with this guy. I didn’t know it was that bad.’ She was at the pool with me and I’m thinking I’m good. But they were really just staring at her the whole time, I guess. It’s just good motivation and it’s a good reminder not to go back.”

Heat forward James Johnson on his physical transformation.

Reaction: We’ve all been there, JJ.

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