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Come Fan with UsFriday, August 7, 2026

Someone has managed to get every pick wrong on their bracket through 20 games

The futility ended when Nevada beat Texas.

NCAA Men’s Final Four - Previews
NCAA Men’s Final Four - Previews
Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Your bracket’s probably bad, but it’s likely not this bad.

Update: the futility is over.

I am extremely impressed that anyone could be that bad at picking (assuming they did so straight up). That means that they picked not only the two No. 16s and two No. 15s that have already lost as of publication, but they’ve also missed on the coin flip games like like Loyola Chicago’s buzzer beater over Miami. I’m deeply interested in this person’s process. Did their dog pick games? Did they do it blindly? Or better yet: Was their actual method to their madness?

Look, it is really hard to get a perfect bracket with all the picks wrong. It’s damn-near impossible.

Some believe it’s as low as 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 (or 1 in 9.2 quintillion, for those who skipped the last 18 digits), while others, including Jeff Bergen, a professor at DePaul, think it’s as “high” as 1 in 128 billion. Either way, picking all 63 games (excluding the First Four games) correctly is next to impossible.

Barely anyone (relatively) had a perfect after the first day of games.

But even fewer got ‘em all wrong after the first day of games. When factoring in intent, it seems more impressive to me that you’d get every pick wrong considering the person was probably trying to get every pick right.

Through 20 games, only one perfectly imperfect bracket remains. Bravo.

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