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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Nevada-Cincinnati’s win probability chart was so bonkers it became a meme

... and it’s the best meme of the tournament so far.

NCAA Basketball: NCAA Tournament-Second Round-Cincinnati Bearcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack
NCAA Basketball: NCAA Tournament-Second Round-Cincinnati Bearcats vs Nevada Wolf Pack
Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

The South Region of the NCAA tournament got even more bonkers on Sunday. The No. 1 seed (Virginia), No. 3 seed (Tennessee), and No. 4 seed (Arizona) were all unceremoniously bounced the first weekend, leaving the path to the Final Four wide open.

Two-seed Cincinnati looked like they were comfortably cruising to the Sweet 16 up 22 points (65-43) with 11:37 to play in the second half over the No. 7 seeded Nevada Wolf Pack. Things looked good for Mick Cronin and the Bearcats. Then Nevada happened.

The Wolf Pack went on a 32-8 run to finish the game (no, not a typo), taking a 75-73 lead on a Josh Hall jumper with nine seconds left. It was their first lead of the game, and the only time a lead mattered. As you’d expect, the Win Probability Chart was insane.

Look at that beauty.

Beyond the actual game-related implications, it has now become the best meme of the NCAA tournament thus far.

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