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Come Fan with UsFriday, July 3, 2026

Michigan vs. Michigan State odds and trends: Line moves in favor of Spartans

Michigan State could beat the rival Wolverines by a touchdown Saturday.

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan and Michigan State square off in an in-state rivalry game that will have serious implications in the B1G race this season.

The Spartans opened as 3.5-point favorites at OddsShark.com, but that line has moved to -6 as bettors continue to view Michigan State as the superior team. The over/under started at 46, and it is available either there or at 46.5, depending on the bookmaker.

In its last 13 home games, Michigan State is 3-10 against the spread. However, over the past five years, Michigan is 0-5 against the spread when facing the Spartans (and just 1-4 straight up).

In their past five games as a home favorite, the Spartans have won, but they are just 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 games as a home favorite (this has, in part, contributed to their low estimation among poll voters and computer ratings, despite their impressive record). Within the Big Ten, Michigan State has covered the spread at home just once in its past six conference games.

Even with the numbers seemingly balanced in the Wolverines’ favor, the OddsShark.com computer says differently, predicting a 32-27 Michigan State win.

More from SB Nation college football:

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Why Florida State would be favored to beat Oregon

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