2016 New Orleans Bowl stats preview: Southern Miss vs. La.-Lafayette advanced tale of the tape

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-6) vs. UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (6-6)

December 17, 2016 ( 9:00 PM ET, ESPN )

Spread: Southern Miss -4.5

S&P+ Projection: Southern Miss (31.0-23.3)

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The Basics

Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)

_{* or smallest disadvantages}

Southern Miss

1. Passing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 10 defense vs. No. 114 offense)
2. Adj. Sack Rate (No. 15 defense vs. No. 115 offense)
3. Short-Yardage Rushing (No. 21 defense vs. No. 115 offense)
4. Second Down S&P+ (No. 23 defense vs. No. 110 offense)
5. Passing Downs Sack Rate (No. 7 defense vs. No. 89 offense)

UL-Lafayette

1. Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 32 defense vs. No. 115 offense)
2. Rushing S&P+ (No. 30 defense vs. No. 111 offense)
3. Adj. Line Yards (No. 49 defense vs. No. 125 offense)
4. Rushing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 29 defense vs. No. 105 offense)
5. Field Position (No. 58 offense vs. No. 123 defense)

Five Factors

Offensive Footprint

Defensive Footprint

When Southern Miss has the ball…

Standard Downs

Passing Downs

When UL-Lafayette has the ball…

Standard Downs

Passing Downs

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}