These pitchers’ ERAs were at least 20 percent higher than their Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) in 2013. Which, if I remember the Sabermetrics 101 course I took at Wossamotta U.*, means that, as a group, they’re likely to improve next season.
The Unlucky Ones
You’ll notice that their batting averages on balls in play are mostly awful, as are their win-loss records. Their strikeout-to-walk ratios are pretty good, though. [Note to any Cub fans who are thinking of sealing the windows and turning on the gas: There are three North Siders on the list.]
| Name | Team | W | L | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | ERA | xFIP | ERA/xFIP |
| Josh Johnson | Blue Jays | 2 | 8 | 81.1 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | .356 | 6.20 | 3.58 | 1.73 |
| Joe Blanton | Angels | 2 | 14 | 132.2 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | .346 | 6.04 | 3.84 | 1.57 |
| Brandon Maurer | Mariners | 5 | 8 | 90.0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 | .346 | 6.30 | 4.25 | 1.48 |
| Dallas Keuchel | Astros | 6 | 10 | 153.2 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | .340 | 5.15 | 3.58 | 1.44 |
| Justin Grimm | Rangers/Cubs | 7 | 9 | 98.0 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | .333 | 5.97 | 4.22 | 1.41 |
| Edinson Volquez | Padres/Dodgers | 9 | 12 | 170.1 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 | .325 | 5.71 | 4.07 | 1.40 |
| Roberto Hernandez | Rays | 6 | 13 | 151.0 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.4 | .308 | 4.89 | 3.60 | 1.36 |
| Rick Porcello | Tigers | 13 | 8 | 177.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | .315 | 4.32 | 3.19 | 1.35 |
| Roy Halladay | Phillies | 4 | 5 | 62.0 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 1.7 | .249 | 6.82 | 5.10 | 1.34 |
| Edwin Jackson | Cubs | 8 | 18 | 175.1 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | .322 | 4.98 | 3.86 | 1.29 |
| Wade Davis | Royals | 8 | 11 | 135.1 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | .361 | 5.32 | 4.15 | 1.28 |
| Ryan Vogelsong | Giants | 4 | 6 | 103.2 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .320 | 5.73 | 4.50 | 1.27 |
| Dan Haren | Nationals | 10 | 14 | 169.2 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | .302 | 4.67 | 3.67 | 1.27 |
| CC Sabathia | Yankees | 14 | 13 | 211.0 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | .308 | 4.78 | 3.76 | 1.27 |
| Jordan Lyles | Astros | 7 | 9 | 141.2 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | .314 | 5.59 | 4.41 | 1.27 |
| Nick Tepesch | Rangers | 4 | 6 | 93.0 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | .309 | 4.84 | 3.82 | 1.27 |
| Jeff Samardzija | Cubs | 8 | 13 | 213.2 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | .314 | 4.34 | 3.45 | 1.26 |
| Jeremy Hellickson | Rays | 12 | 10 | 174.0 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | .307 | 5.17 | 4.15 | 1.25 |
| Joe Saunders | Mariners | 11 | 16 | 183.0 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 | .332 | 5.26 | 4.23 | 1.24 |
| Corey Kluber | Indians | 11 | 5 | 147.1 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | .329 | 3.85 | 3.10 | 1.24 |
| Aaron Harang | Mariners/Mets | 5 | 12 | 143.1 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | .288 | 5.40 | 4.38 | 1.23 |
| Tim Lincecum | Giants | 10 | 14 | 197.2 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 1.0 | .300 | 4.37 | 3.56 | 1.23 |
| Scott Kazmir | Indians | 10 | 9 | 158.0 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | .324 | 4.04 | 3.36 | 1.20 |
| Brandon McCarthy | Diamondbacks | 5 | 11 | 135.0 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | .320 | 4.53 | 3.77 | 1.20 |
(Minimum 15 starts.)
* Not accredited.
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