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Come Fan with UsTuesday, July 14, 2026

Prospect Success (And Failure) Rates

Over at Royals Review, Scott McKinney has completed a massive study of the success rates of top prospects. I urge you to read the whole thing; these highlights should merely whet your appetite ...

  • ↵↵About 70% of Baseball America top 100 prospects fail.
  • ↵Position player prospects succeed much more often than pitching prospects.
  • ↵About 60% of position players ranked in Baseball America’s top 20 succeed in the majors.
  • ↵About 40% of pitchers ranked in the top 20 succeed in the majors.

↵↵There’s much, much more worth knowing, which makes this probably your Must Click Link of the Day.

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