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Say hey, baseball: Dodgers join Yoan Moncada chase
Wednesday morning’s baseball includes the Dodgers getting their wallets ready, the James Shields’ market, and more on Ryan Howard.


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Last week, the Red Sox and Yankees were considered the favorites for Cuban infielder Yoan Moncada. They still might be, but another team with deep pockets and the desire to empty them has joined the fray: the Dodgers are now expected to shift their attention to Moncada with another target of theirs, Yoan Lopez, signed to the Diamondbacks. Moncada still isn’t officially a free agent since he hasn’t been cleared to work in the United States yet, but once he is, these three are going to try to sign him to a record-shattering deal.
The aforementioned Lopez just agreed to a record-setting contract for a Cuban prospect, one that will pay him $8.25 million. It’s believed that Moncada, who is still just 19 and will head to the minors when he does sign, will pull in between $30 million and $40 million. Now, any team in the majors can afford that deal over the five or six years he’ll likely sign for, but while that’s what Moncada will earn, he will cost more. Since he hasn’t played in Serie Nacional long enough and isn’t old enough, he’s still subject to international spending limits. A deal for between $30 million to $40 million will result in a 100 percent tax on international spending, meaning he’s actually going to cost his new team between $60 million and $80 million. Another way to put that: the Rays had a record payroll to open 2014, and it came in at $76 million.
That tax limits the market for Moncada, and while the Dodgers, Red Sox, and Yankees aren’t the only teams who can afford it, they’re probably the ones who can shrug it off the best. The Sox have already shown a willingness to take this kind of lump sum financial risk on an international player before when they won the negotiating rights to Daisuke Matsuzaka before 2007, a move that saw them write a $51.1 million check to the Seibu Lions of Nippon Professional Baseball just for the right to pay Dice-K. They’ve said before that moves that just cost them money are the preferable ones to make. The Yankees need no introduction for their free-spending ways, and the Dodgers might be stronger adherents to those philosophies than the Yankees themselves these days. If they can throw $10 million at the oft-injured Brett Anderson or spend almost $10 million to make Brian Wilson disappear, they can invest $40 million in acquiring a high-quality teenage talent that they won’t be able to secure late in the draft.
- The Marlins would like James Shields, but they’re afraid of overextending their budget for 2016, so it’s maybe not as simple as just offering him a deal. They might need to clear some payroll space, too, since they have 14 arbitration-eligible players to deal with next winter.
- Shields, by the way, is expected to sign for below $100 million, whenever he does get around to that. 11 teams have been linked to him this winter, some of them far less likely destinations than others.
- D-Backs general manager Dave Stewart thinks his team has a good shot at Shields, because he’s “a throwback guy” and they’re a “true baseball team.” Most people interpreted this to be a shot at analytics, but Tony La Russa isn’t against them and is Stewart’s boss, so probably not.
- How much are the Cardinals willing to spend on a starter? Their chase of Jon Lester gives more than a hint.
- There are scenarios that exist within which the Rays are the ones who win the Ben Zobrist trade.
- The bad baseball card tournament continues, and whether you love or hate cards there is something for you here.
- Parks and Recreation had another sabermetric Easter egg during Tuesday night’s double episode feature.
- The Phillies are trying to sell Ryan Howard as a good dude in order to facilitate trading him. It is working about as well as you would expect.











