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Come Fan with UsThursday, June 25, 2026

Just 4 games back, the Nationals take on the Mets

Monday’s Say Hey, Baseball includes the Nationals’ last chance to catch the Mets, Matt Harvey’s innings decision and Kris Bryant’s ridiculous homer. Subscribe for your daily Say Hey!

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The Nationals have had a rough 2015. They’ve only had their preferred starting lineup on the field on a handful of occasions, and if Denard Span doesn’t return this season, they won’t be at full strength again. A stacked rotation turned out to be more necessity than luxury, and even with both Jonathan Papelbon and Drew Storen around, manager Matt Williams is finding ways to screw up the bullpen. Despite all of this, the Nats are just four games back of the Mets in the NL East. While that might sound daunting with just weeks to go in the season, the two teams have six games left against each other, the first of which takes place in D.C. on Monday.

The Mets aren’t in free fall or anything, but they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, and spent the weekend dealing with Matt Harvey innings-limit fallout. Their place in the postseason is probable, but by no means assured: the Nationals were the preseason favorites for a reason, and while not everything has gone to plan for them, they do have presumed NL MVP Bryce Harper around to bash Mets’ pitching for six more games. A few key hits from Harper -- or Anthony Rendon, or Ryan Zimmerman, or really anyone in a Nats jersey -- could change the whole season for two teams.

The Nats still have an uphill battle here, given that they aren’t in a position where they can lose many, or maybe any, of these games to the Mets. A sweep of New York would still leave them one back in the division, and given the Mets are currently behind both NL wild card leaders in the standings, that’s the only likely way into the postseason for either of these clubs. As it is, the Nats only have a 14 percent probability of leapfrogging the Mets. That will go up with each W against them, but they need to actually win those games before that will happen.

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