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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

The Cubs make strides toward the NL Central title and the Brewers do not

Saturday’s Say Hey, Baseball talks about the tough times the Brewers have fallen into.

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers
Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The Dodgers clinched the NL West Friday night. But even in the midst of the team’s extended losing streak (16 losses in 17 games, if you missed the cataclysmic blow up), the title always seemed like a foregone conclusion. The NL Central, on the other hand, isn’t, or wasn’t, the foregone conclusion that the NL West was.

Before the Dodgers celebrated the title, the Milwaukee Brewers were put away by the Cubs in the tenth inning for the second night in a row — a third consecutive heartbreaker. And now, thanks to a comeback win against the Pirates, the Cardinals officially sit a half-game ahead of the Brewers in the NL Central standings, five games behind the Cubs and 1.5 games behind the Rockies for the second NL Wild Card. Coming into the four-game series on Thursday, the Cubs had a magic number of eight and a division lead of 3.5.

If Milwaukee can’t find a way to put the Cubs away Saturday and Sunday, they’ll officially be eliminated from NL Central contention. But the Brewers are only a half-game back of the Cardinals and after a series against the sub-.500 Reds, Milwaukee will play a final series against the Cards. In the meantime, the Rockies will be facing the sub-.500 Marlins and then the very-not-sub-.500 Dodgers in its two final series.

The odds are stacked against the Brewers pulling out a series tie. After two extra-innings heart-rending losses in succession, the team will face a hot Kyle Hendricks on Saturday, who has a 2.42 ERA in 67 innings since coming off the DL in July. The team’s win probability for Saturday’s game is 39 percent, according to FanGraphs. Sunday’s matchup might be the best chance the Brewers have, facing Jose Quintana. Quintana’s 4.27 ERA is not great, but it’s also a product of stumbling in August, giving up six runs in a few starts. The Brewers will throw Chase Anderson, who is having a career-best season with a 2.74 ERA.

The stars will have to align for the Brewers to find their way into the postseason. The team came into this series hoping to escape with the division lead. Now they’re in third place with a long road ahead.

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