The Dallas Mavericks are getting a pretty big benefit of the doubt from anyone picking them to win multiple games in their series against the Oklahoma City Thunder, because the numbers simply don't support it. The Log5 projection system gives Oklahoma City a strong probability of winning the series in four or five games.
PROJECTION: Mavericks Are Toast Vs. Thunder
Check out our map of the potential outcomes below the jump.
The Thunder have an 84 percent probability of winning the series, and a 50 percent probability of winning 4-0 or 4-1. The probability of a Thunder sweep is greater than any flavor of Mavericks series win. According to the numbers, there’s a 23 percent probability that the Mavericks can push the series to seven games. Once there, the Thunder would be favored, 70-30.
PICK: Thunder in 5
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