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Fantasy basketball advice: NBA FanDuel sleepers/busts for Saturday, Sunday of 2015 NBA playoffs
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As for what we're doing in this space: The goal here will be to direct your attention toward some players who you might not otherwise consider. If you're here and reading this, then you already know that LeBron James is really good. But when filling out a roster you can't just pick out stars. You'll blow your cap and get stuck praying to the basketball gods that a guy like Kosta Koufos gets into the game. No, if you want to win, you have to take advantage of certain matchups -- and in order to do that you have to know where to look. That's what we're here for. Also, this space is going to be used to give you advice for the games on Saturday, April 18 and Sunday April 19. So with that, let's get started.
3 players to target
Anthony Davis, PF, Pelicans: Here's what Davis is averaging in two games this year against the Warriors, who the Pelicans will be facing Saturday: 29.5 points, 12.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.0 steals and 3.5 blocks. Yes, you read those numbers correctly. Obviously all those fun small sample size caveats apply here, but we also don't have so many players to choose from. You've got to bank on something. Davis' performance against Golden State this year is a good place to start.
James Harden, SG, Clippers: The other star worth spending on. The Mavericks, who Harden's Rockets are facing Saturday night, might be the worst defensive team in the playoffs; they certainly have no one who can guard Harden, who we know will be getting the bulk of Houston's shot. Also, this is the only first-round game between two teams, who play at an above average pace (per NBA.com). That should create extra possessions, which means extra points.
Kevin Love, PF, Cavaliers: Call this a hunch, though it is backed up by some numbers. For one, this season the Celtics, who the Cavaliers play Sunday, allowed opposing power forward to score 40.3 FanDuel points per game, the fourth-highest number in the league (per Rotoworld). Another number: Boston was fourth in the NBA in pace this season, per NBA.com, which could actually get Love some extra touches. Cleveland plays slow, but perhaps the Celtics will speed the game up. As for the hunch part, well, Brad Stevens is a good coach. It wouldn't come as a surprise if takes away LeBron and Kyrie and dares Kevin Love to beat his team.
3 players to avoid
Chris Paul, PG, Clippers: The reasoning here is pretty clear -- Kawhi Leonard is a beast, one you want nothing to do with. That means avoiding the players he's most likely to be spending the bulk of his time guarding. The Clippers, who face the Spurs Sunday night, have no other perimeter threats to occupy Leonard. All his attention will be on CP3. That makes him a player to avoid.
Derrick Rose, PG, Bulls: Don't fall for this, or allow yourself to get talked into it. In the five game's he's played in since returning to the court, Rose is averaging 11.6 points, 4.0 assists and 3.4 rebounds in 20.3 minutes, while shooting just 37 percent from the field. On Saturday he'll also be facing a Bucks defense that has stifled opposing point guards all season, allowing them to score a league-low 36.3 FanDuel points per game, according to Rotoworld. Rose might get to a playable level at some point over the next few weeks. Right now, though, he's certainly not there.
Kyle Lowry, PG, Raptors: We'll stay with point guards, and the one Washington has is the reason you want to stay away from Lowry. John Wall, who Lowry will face on Saturday, is one of the best defensive players in the league. Both these teams also play at a below-average pace. That's going to give Lowry less opportunities to get to the basket against Wall.
Other Notables
Another point guard to be wary of: Damian Lillard. He's struggled with his shot a lot this year, and Memphis has been slowing down opposing point guards all season. A good lower cost option could be Josh Smith. The Rockets need him, especially with Donatas Motiejunas out with an injury, and Dallas doesn't really have anyone that can guard him. Smith has also done well against the Mavericks this year, averaging 16.0 points and 7.3 rebounds in two games -- the Wizards and Raptors series is mentioned above. You might also want to avoid DeMar DeRozan. Washington has helped opposing shooting guards to 33 FanDuel points per game this year, according to Rotoworld.











