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Come Fan with UsMonday, June 22, 2026

Does LeBron have a chance in hell against the Warriors?

We break down whether the Cavaliers have a shot at beating the Warriors for the championship. One of us is extremely skeptical.

SB Nation's 2015 NBA Finals Guide

The 2015 NBA Finals are nigh, so we shared our thoughts on how the championship series will shake out in the latest edition of FLANNS & ZILLZ. Enjoy.

ZILLER: On paper, and with all due respect to what the Cavaliers have accomplished, this looks like a blowout in the making. All evidence points to the Warriors' superiority on both ends of the court even when Cleveland is healthy. And Cleveland is not healthy. I believe in the innate greatness of LeBron James as much as anyone. But I don't see a path to victory here.

FLANNERY: Let me give you a few reasons. LeBron, a stout defense, LeBron, offensive rebounding and LeBron. Plus at least one unconscious JR Smith game. Split two games in Oracle and two back home, keep it status quo for Games 5 and 6 and rely on the greatest player on the planet to carry you home in Game 7.

I mean, it could happen.

ZILLER: Anything is possible, as the great KG said. But these tasks are so much harder than they sound. Split the first two games at Oracle AND win a Game 7 there? The Warriors are 46-3 at home this season (including playoffs). I'd like to believe Cleveland's defense is real. Yet it wasn't fantastic in the regular season even after the trades and the Cavs didn't exactly face a murderer's row of offenses in the East bracket, given the state of the Hawks. The offensive rebounding thing is real, and J.R. Smith is good for one of those unconscious evenings. But Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Harrison Barnes ... hell, Shaun Livingston are all capable of the same.

So we're left with LeBron, who has carried undermanned East teams to the Finals before and been throttled by better West teams once there. And this is the best West team he's ever faced in the Finals. LeBron is pure greatness, but against this team? I can't see it being enough ... unless Kyrie Irving is the second or third best player in the series.

FLANNERY: For the record, I don't either, but I do think he and the Cavs have a puncher's chance of getting out of this thing alive. I don't see this going down the way last year's Finals went when the Spurs ran roughshod over the Heat, but I also wouldn't be surprised if the Warriors won it in five games with a few close ones going their way. Win one of those 50-50 games and you can make it into a series. The longer it goes, the more it favors the best player.

But I’m with you on Kyrie. He, or someone else, has to be a secondary scorer. The Cavs were able to do that in the conference finals, but as you say, this is a whole other kettle of fish. Maybe it’s the length of time between games that causing me to see visions of a close series, but there are a few ways the Cavs can hurt Golden State, mainly on the offensive glass.

We’ve both been on the Warriors’ bandwagon all season, why are you feeling so confident in them now?

ZILLER: We saw the Warriors make perfect adjustments to slow Anthony Davis, the Memphis bigs and James Harden. Those are three extremely different tasks; Golden State aced all three defensively while also putting up big offensive numbers against two of the better defenses in the West (Grizzlies and Rockets). Granted, the Warriors avoided the Clippers and Spurs, who were the most imposing foes entering the postseason. But Golden State's been so dominant against the teams they did face it's really hard to imagine any team beating them four times in seven games. Despite LeBron's omnipotence, I don't think Cleveland is much better (if at all) than Houston or perhaps even Memphis.

Is there anything about the Warriors that looks vulnerable other than the defensive glass?

FLANNERY: I feel like they've been living on the edge a bit more than generally acknowledged due to the length of the series' they've played. There was that infamous Game 3 in NOLA and the first two games of the WCF that could have gone either way. That Memphis series was tight until Tony Allen got hurt. I'm not taking anything away from them. Indeed, it's a huge credit to their run that they've been tested without losing ground along the way, but the juggernaut is maybe not as strong as it appears.

All that said, your chart is striking in asserting Golden State’s superiority. The Warriors are really, really good. What separates them from last year’s San Antonio club in my mind, is the Spurs had that horrible bitterness from losing the previous season to push them through the games in Miami. There was absolutely no complacency or mercy once they got the upper hand. That’s the final element to Golden State’s run. Capture that feeling on this stage and we can crown them as one of the best of all time. Fair?

ZILLER: Fair. This is one way in which a Warriors title would be fairly unprecedented: the core is young and not yet bitterly desperate. You'd have to go back to the 2003 Spurs or 2004 Pistons to get something similar, and even then Tim Duncan already had a ring and those Detroit guys were the "nobody believed in us" All-Stars. Dwyane Wade in 2006 is the last young star to lead his team to a championship without having been crushed in the playoffs a number of times. And he had Pat Riley, Shaq, Zo and The Glove along for the ride. That history makes Golden State's task a good bit more daunting. There's value in having direct experience of the spectacle. LeBron certainly has that. The Warriors don't.

FLANNERY: Sidebar question: You think that 2011 Finals against Dallas haunts LeBron as much as I do? That’s the one big “oops” on his Finals resume. The 2007 Cavs had no real chance against the Spurs and last year’s Heat were battered by the time they got there. 2011 is the one without a reasonable explanation. Neither here nor there at the moment, but interesting in the grand scheme of things.

ZILLER: Absolutely. That loss plus the 2009 and 2010 Cleveland disasters infused LeBron with that bitterness you mention. He carries that, for sure. Consider this: without Ray Allen’s heroics in 2013, LeBron would be 1-4 in the Finals. I think in an effort to believe this will be a close series we’re overrating LeBron’s ability to carry a completely overmatched team to a series win over an elite West team.

I’m also curious about the dueling narratives that the January trades saved Cleveland and that LeBron is doing it all by himself. I’m not sure both can be true. Either he needed some particular help or he didn’t right?

FLANNERY: Oh, there's no question he needed some help. One element that's been underplayed quite a bit is the degree to which the mere presence of a large human like Timofey Mozgov helped perk up his spirits. Add Iman Shumpert's wing defense and JR Smith's shooting (a much different kind of gunner than Dion Waiters) and the Cavs were suddenly a much more complete team.

What's brought us back to the LeBron against the world narrative have been the injuries to Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving, and the degree to which it really was Bron's offensive might that has taken them this far. Get those two guys back healthy and this looks like the team to beat in the East for the next three years. You couldn't say that with the same confidence when the season started.

So, prediction time. Let’s put a number on this thing. I’ve got Warriors in seven. I suspect you have it not going the distance.

ZILLER: I think the Warriors can name that tune in five. I'd love to be proven wrong -- I'll always root deep down for the team without a title or with the longest drought -- but I see too many battles tilting heavily in Golden State's direction. Stephen Curry wins Finals MVP and I rue the day in my youth I chose the Kings over the Warriors while growing up midway between Oakland and Sacramento.

Check out SB Nation’s full NBA Finals preview and tune in Thursday for full Finals coverage, including Flannery on location in Oakland.

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