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Come Fan with UsTuesday, August 4, 2026

Full list of Week 5 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 12 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 5.

Jacksonville Jaguars v Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars v Kansas City Chiefs
Photo by Nick Grace/Getty Images

The NFL has entered Week 5, and as we move through the quarter mark for much of the league, the first bye weeks are upon us. The Falcons, Bears, Packers, and Steelers will all get this week off and kick off the many coming bye weeks.

Last week was a bit of a disaster for my confidence picks. I finished 7-9 overall, going 3-1 in high confidence picks, 3-2 in medium confidence picks, and a disastrous 1-6 in my low confidence picks. I got upsets wrong, I got favorites wrong — it was a mess.

We have two undefeated teams remaining and both host 2-2 squads. The undefeated Eagles host the Broncos at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, while the undefeated Bills host the Patriots on Sunday Night Football. The week opens with the Rams hosting the Brock Purdy-less 49ers and closes with the Chiefs traveling to face a suddenly dangerous Jaguars squad.

On to my Week 5 picks!

High confidence

Colts over Raiders
Cardinals over Titans
Lions over Bengals
Bills over Patriots

Medium confidence

Eagles over Broncos
Rams over 49ers
Texans over Ravens

Low confidence

Browns over Vikings***
Giants over Saints***
Panthers over Dolphins***
Jets over Cowboys***
Bucs over Seahawks***
Chargers over Commanders
Jaguars over Chiefs***

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