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Come Fan with UsTuesday, August 4, 2026

Full list of Week 11 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 15 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 11.

Minnesota Vikings v Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings v Los Angeles Rams
Photo by Nick Grace/Getty Images

Welp, another week of some poor picks by yours truly. I went 7-7 for a second straight week and I’m in a funk. I was 2-1 with my high confidence picks and 4-2 with my medium confidence picks, but too many upset picks stung me as I was 1-4 with my low confidence picks.

Last week was a wild one, with the Bills losing in Miami and the Panthers losing at home to the Saints. Those were the biggest upsets in a week that didn’t really have that many entertaining games. Maybe it will change in Week 11?

This week, we open with the Patriots hosting the Jets in a less than ideal TNF kickoff. Europe gets another stinker on Sunday morning as the Dolphins face the Commanders with both teams struggling. The 1 p.m. ET window has two matchups that look decent with the Bills hosting the Bucs and the Jaguars hosting the Chargers. All four teams are in the thick of the playoff race. The 4 p.m. window has a huge Seahawks-Rams matchup, with both teams seen as NFC title contenders. Sunday closes with another such matchup as the Eagles host the Lions. Maybe we can just ignore Cowboys-Raiders on Monday?

On to my Week 11 picks!

High confidence

Patriots over Jets
Ravens over Browns
Packers over Giants

Medium confidence

Texans over Titans
Bills over Buccaneers
Cowboys over Raiders
Vikings over Bears

Low confidence

Eagles over Lions
49ers over Cardinals
Dolphins over Commanders
Falcons over Panthers
Steelers over Bengals
Seahawks over Rams***
Jaguars over Chargers***
Broncos over Chiefs***

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