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NFL Draft: Raiders on the verge of the top pick after losing to Giants

The Raiders moved one step closer to the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft in Week 17

Chicago Bears v Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears v Las Vegas Raiders
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Mark Schofield
Mark Schofield is a former college quarterback and attorney covering the NFL and F1.

A dismal season for Pete Carroll and the Las Vegas Raiders now has a sliver lining.

The Raiders are on the cusp of securing the first-overall selection in the 2026 NFL Draft.

Las Vegas and the New York Giants entered Week 17 with matching 2-13 records, and as luck would have it the two teams squared off on Sunday. New York’s blowout win improved their record to 3-13 on the season, dropping the Raiders to 2-14 and into sole possession of the No. 1 pick.

However, the Raiders have not yet locked up the top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. A loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the season finale would clinch the first-overall selection for Las Vegas. If the Raiders lose to Kansas City, the door will open again for the Giants to secure the top pick with a loss to the Dallas Cowboys.

There is one other team with a chance at the top pick, and that is the New York Jets. New York lost to the New England Patriots on Sunday, dropping to 3-13 on the season. But the Jets’ Strength of Schedule could be enough — depending on results from around the league in Week 18 — to give them the top pick should New York lose to the Buffalo Bills, the Raiders defeat the Kansas City Chiefs, and the Giants defeat the Dallas Cowboys.

Here is the current order for the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft:

Pick

Team

Record

Winning %

SOS

GB

1Las Vegas Raiders2-14.125.542--
2New York Giants3-13.188.5311.0
3New York Jets3-13.188.5481.0
4Tennessee Titans3-13.188.5761.0
5Arizona Cardinals3-13.188.5801.0
6Cleveland Browns4-12.250.4912.0
7Washington Commanders4-12.250.5072.0
8New Orleans Saints6-10.375.4914.0
9Kansas City Chiefs6-10.375.5094.0
10Cincinnati Bengals6-10.375.5174.0
11Los Angeles Rams (via ATL)6-9.400.4984.5
12Miami Dolphins7-9.438.4835.0
13Tampa Bay Buccaneers7-9.438.5325.0
14Dallas Cowboys7-8-1.469.4365.5
15Detroit Lions8-8.500.4936.0
16Baltimore Ravens8-8.500.5046.0
17Minnesota Vikings8-8.500.5156.0
18New York Jets (via IND)8-8.500.5376.0
19Carolina Panthers8-8.500.5206.0
20Pittsburgh Steelers9-7.563.5097.0
21Dallas Cowboys (via GB)9-6-1.594.4807.5
22Los Angeles Chargers11-5.688.4619.0
23Philadelphia Eagles11-5.688.4679.0
24Buffalo Bills11-5.688.4729.0
25Chicago Bears11-5.733.4549.0
26Houston Texans11-5.688.5289.0
27Los Angeles Rams11-4.733.5319.5
28Cleveland Browns (via JAX)12-4.750.48710.0
29San Francisco 49ers12-4.733.49410.0
30New England Patriots13-3.813.38411.0
31Denver Broncos13-3.813.42611.0
32Seattle Seahawks13-3.813.49811.0

Week 18 games to watch for No. 1 pick

Here are the three main games to watch when it comes to the first pick in the 2026 NFL Draft:

  • Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, 1:00 p.m. Eastern (FOX)
  • New York Jets at Buffalo Bills, 4:25 p.m. Eastern (CBS)
  • Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, 4:25 p.m. Eastern (CBS)
See More:

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