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NFL picks, Week 9: Broncos, Cowboys favored in high-profile games

The Denver Broncos will face the New England Patriots, while the Dallas Cowboys host the Arizona Cardinals. See who our experts think will continue their climb to the top of the standings.

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

With the first half of the season in the books, it’s time to separate the contenders from the pretenders. That remains an incredibly difficult task this season, perhaps more so than in any other year.

There are 18 teams with winning records, and only seven of the 32 teams are more than two games out of a playoff spot. The only season in NFL history where we had more teams with .500-plus records through Week 8 was in 2011 (19). So how do you determine which winning teams are for real and which are primed to flop in the final two months of the season?

A quick glance at a team's strength of schedule can reveal a wealth of information for those trying to pick winners the rest of the season. For example, the San Francisco 49ers are 4-3 and two games back of the NFC West-leading Arizona Cardinals, but have played the league's toughest schedule so far. San Francisco's remaining opponents have a combined .462 record, the easiest among its division rivals. The New England Patriots are widely considered one of the league's top teams, but don't pencil them in for a first-round bye quite yet. The Pats have faced the second-easiest slate in starting 6-2, and now face the NFL's second-hardest remaining schedule.

Teams in the playoff hunt are not the only ones concerned about the road ahead. We still have one winless team left in the NFL, and there is a good chance that the 2008 Detroit Lions could have some company in the record books at the end of the season. The Oakland Raiders have lost their first seven games and face the league's hardest remaining schedule as they try to avoid becoming the second team ever to go 0-16. They face just one team with a losing record, and that game is on the road at St. Louis (2-5) in Week 13.

Week 9 brings a reduced slate of games with six teams on byes, but it still offers a bunch of intriguing matchups and divisional battles. The early afternoon schedule is highlighted by the Dallas Cowboys (6-2) hosting the Arizona Cardinals (6-1), and in the late afternoon we get the highly anticipated contest between the Broncos (6-1) and Patriots (6-2). This might be the best set of back-to-back games all season, and it's arguably the finest we've seen in the regular season in nearly three decades. This is the first time that a single week includes two games featuring teams with at least six wins each this early into a season since 1986 (Week 9).

The week's major matchups have our experts divided, although the Cowboys and Broncos are favored by most. Other games that should be competitive are equally as hard to predict, including the Indianapolis Colts against the New York Giants. At the very least, the bottom dwellers are expected to remain as such with not a single expert predicting the Jaguars, Bucs or Jets to win this week.

Week 9 Ryan Van Bibber Stephen White David Fucillo Danny Kelly PFT Commenter Matt Ufford Joel Thorman
NO vs. CAR NO CAR CAR CAR CAR NO NO
TB vs. CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE
JAC vs. CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN CIN
ARI vs. DAL ARI DAL ARI DAL ARI DAL DAL
PHI vs. HOU PHI HOU PHI PHI HOU PHI PHI
NYJ vs. KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC
SD vs. MIA SD MIA SD SD SD MIA SD
WAS vs. MIN MIN MIN MIN WAS Tie WAS WAS
StL vs. SF SF SF SF SF SF SF SF
DEN vs. NE DEN DEN NE DEN NE DEN NE
OAK vs. SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA
BAL vs. PIT BAL PIT PIT PIT BAL BAL PIT
IND vs. NYG IND NYG NYG NYG IND IND IND

Our panel consists of: David Fucillo, SB Nation’s fantasy guru; Danny Kelly, SB Nation NFL contributor; PFT Commenter, SB Nation’s hot takes expert; Joel Thorman, SB Nation NFL blogs manager; Matt Ufford, editorial producer, SB Nation studios; Ryan Van Bibber, SB Nation’s NFL editor; and Stephen White, retired NFL defensive end and SB Nation NFL contributor.

Our panel’s record last week and for the season:

Van Bibber White Fucillo Kelly PFTC Ufford Thorman
Week 8 10-5 10-5 9-6 9-6 3-12 10-5 12--3
Overall 71-50 70-51 76-45 71-50 62-59 74-47 77-44
See More:

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