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Full list of Week 10 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 14 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 10.

DeAndre Hopkins #8 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his touchdown reception against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on November 04, 2024 in Kansas City, Missouri.
DeAndre Hopkins #8 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his touchdown reception against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second quarter at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on November 04, 2024 in Kansas City, Missouri.
Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images

The NFL playoff race is heating up and Week 10 is upon us. The week opens with a huge Thursday Night Football matchup between the Ravens and maybe now surging Bengals. The Chiefs host the Broncos with Denver looking to keep the AFC West race alive. The most surprisingly intriguing matchup is Steelers-Commanders, with both teams unexpectedly leading their respective divisions.

Last week was relatively quiet, with the Panthers providing the most significant upset of the weekend. My weekly confidence picks came back to earth a bit with a 10-5 week. I missed out on all four of my upset picks as it was a much more chalky week.

And so, here’s my full list of picks for Week 9. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win.

High confidence (19-11)

Chiefs over Broncos
49ers over Buccaneers
Chargers over Titans

Medium confidence (48-16)

Ravens over Bengals
Bears over Patriots
Bills over Colts
Commanders over Steelers
Eagles over Cowboys
Lions over Texans

Low confidence (27-18)

Giants over Panthers
Jaguars over Vikings***
Saints over Falcons***
Cardinals over Jets***
Dolphins over Rams***

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