It was bound to happen: The trends suggested it would happen, and it happened.
Houston, Oakland Biggest Monday MLB Underdogs
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Scoreboards exploded Sunday with runs galore and the trend towards baseball UNDERs was reversed in a big way with an 11-4 run in 15 games.
We wrote last week about the low totals and trends favoring pitching over hitting. The OVER-UNDER values on Monday have spiked upwards with three games over 9, but many still in the 6 to 6.5 range.
"Some games will always be low when you have Roy Halladay and Stephen Strasburg on the betting menu," said Mike Pickett of OddsShark.com, the baseball odds provider to SBNation. "A total of 6 in the Phillies-Giants game is a tempting OVER bet because Tim Lincecum has struggled so much."
There is a 'Lost Boys' episode in Yankee Stadium where Carl Pavano and Fredy Garcia -- promising pitchers who careers were derailed by seasons-long injuries and recoveries -- do battle. The Yanks opened as -180 moneyline chalk at most shops.
Early lines, matchup details and pitcher game logs for Monday, courtesy of OddsShark.com.
Tampa Bay +111 at Boston -116, Total 9.5 - James Shields (1-0) | Daniel Bard (0-1) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games at home
Minnesota +170 at NY Yankees -180, Total 9.5 - Carl Pavano (0-1) | Freddy Garcia (0-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
NY Yankees are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston +240 at Washington -250, Total 6.5 - Kyle Weiland (0-1) | Stephen Strasburg (1-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets +158 at Atlanta -164, Total 7.5 - Dillon Gee (0-1) | Tommy Hanson (1-1) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore +117 at Chi White Sox -122, Total 8.5 - Jake Arrieta (1-0) | Philip Humber (0-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
Detroit -185 at Kansas City +178, Total 7.5 - Justin Verlander (0-1) | Danny Duffy (1-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home
San Diego +122 at Colorado -127, Total 9 - Cory Luebke (0-1) | Jeremy Guthrie (1-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado’s last 13 games when playing at home against San Diego
Pittsburgh +123 at Arizona -128, Total 8.5 - Erik Bedard (0-2) | Joe Saunders (0-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oakland +187 at LA Angels -195, Total 6.5 - Brandon McCarthy (0-1) | Jered Weaver (1-0) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland’s last 6 games on the road
LA Angels are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland
Philadelphia -108 at San Francisco +103, Total 6 - Roy Halladay (2-0) | Tim Lincecum (0-1) | Matchup Report | SBNation MLB Odds
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games
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