Breeders Cup Betting: Long Shots and Morning Line Odds Updates

Special to OddsShark.com courtesy of Michael Dempsey

With over $160 million being pushed through the betting windows for the Breeders’ Cup coming up on Friday and Saturday, it is the holy grail of wagering for horseplayers looking to make a big score.

With 13 championship races and horses coming from around the world to compete for $26 million in purses, it is not the time to play the chalk.

There are plenty of Breeders’ Cup longshots at good odds to be found over the two days. Here is a look at five live longshots that should be in the mix at generous prices on Saturday:

Juvenile Fillies

The first Breeders’ Cup race on the day on Saturday is a wide-open affair. The nod goes to Feathered (8-1), who tracked the early pace, came with a four wide bid and finished evenly in a third place finish behind a couple of these in the Frizette (G1), which was contested over a sloppy main track at Belmont Park.

The filly went gate to wire two back to break her maiden going seven furlongs at the Spa in her second career start. Breaking from the rail she should show more early speed here and looking for her to bounce back with a much better effort over a fast track. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 Breeders Cup Odds morning line.

Filly & Mare Turf

The Euros look tough in this race but Dayatthespa (8-1) is really the only speed and she is coming into this race in the sharpest form of her career for the Chad Brown barn. She won the state bred Yaddo two back and last out won the First Lady (G1) at Keeneland going a mile over ground labeled as good.

She is best at a mile, but over firm footing on this turf course with an easy lead, she may be able to stretch it out if she is able to shake loose early. She won the QEII at Keeneland back in 2012 going nine furlongs in gate to wire fashion so she has the class to do it.

I will take a tab she gets loose if we can catch most of her 8-1 morning line. She was as high as 10-1 recently at Oddsshark.

Turf Sprint

Bobby’s Kitten (10-1) set the early fractions and weakened to finish third in the Woodbine Mile (G1) last out behind Trade Storm and Kaigun. Instead of going to the Mile. Brown elects to shorten hi up here to 6 1/2 furlongs and that just may suit.

The barn is 56 percent winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from route to sprint. The colt ran third here last year in the Juvenile Turf (G1) and prepped for it by winning the Pilgrim (G3). Decent value if he goes off near his 10-1 morning line.

Juvenile

Souper Colossal (10-1) may get overlooked on the tote shipping in from Jersey where the colt won all three of his starts including the Tyro and Sapling. His last outing was his first go around two turns Three he beat in the Sapling came out of the race to win next out including Posse Dreamin, who won the state bred Jersey Juvenile in his next outing on Sept. 27.

The colt owns solid early and mid pace numbers and he blazed through a bullet work on Oct. 27 over the main track here, five furlongs in 57.2 and looked very sharp doing so. Worth a good look if he goes off near his 12-1 morning line.

Sprint

Big Macher (12-1) is back on his favorite surface after running a bad one last out in a sixth place finish in the Pat O’Brien (G2). The gelding won three of his four previous starts, taking the Bing Crosby (G1) two back on poly off a 3 1/2 month break and the Potrero Grande (G2) over the main track here.

He has not missed landing in the exacta in five trips over the surface. The gelding should be sitting a good trip in the second flight and should bounce back with a better effort here on the surface switch. He has worked very sharply in the mornings since his last outing and off his clunker last out should be a decent price in this spot.

The Breeders’ Cup races will be televised live on the NBC Sports Network with NBC broadcasting the $5 million Classic at 8:00 ET on Saturday.