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Come Fan with UsWednesday, July 1, 2026

Patriots vs. Packers: Betting odds, spread, preview and pick

Two of the NFL’s best collide as the New England Patriots visit the Green Bay Packers.

Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

The Green Bay Packers are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the New England Patriots are 4-0 SU and ATS this season as the betting underdog. One of these streaks will come to an end this Sunday when the Packers host the Patriots in what could be a Super Bowl preview.

Green Bay is a 3-point home favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. While the Packers have looked nearly unbeatable at home of late, New England’s current form makes the Patriots too difficult to pass up on as a 3-point road underdog.

OddsShark Computer Prediction: New England 41.3, Green Bay 39.8

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers came back down to earth a bit last week, scoring only 24 points on the road against Minnesota after scoring 108 points over their previous two games.

The 24 points were enough to give Green Bay its third straight win at 24-21, and while the Packers did fail to cover the spread they are still 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS over their last eight games. Green Bay is a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in five home games so far this season.

At this point it seems like ages ago that the New England Patriots were 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS and sports fans and media were actually questioning if Tom Brady still had anything left. New England is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over its last seven games including a current 4-0 SU and ATS stretch in which the Patriots have won every game by at least 22 points.

And these blowouts include quality teams in Denver, Indianapolis and Detroit. The Pats have also won 13 straight against NFC North teams, not losing since a 2002 game against these Packers. The game had a total of 58 points mid-week and could climb towards one of the highest over-unders of all time.

The OVER is 4-0 in New England’s last four games as an underdog and 5-0 in Green Bay’s last five games as a home favorite. Sunday’s total is set at 58 points on the Week 13 NFL betting lines.

This game features two of the best quarterbacks in the game and two of the best teams in the NFL. Bettors can easily make a case for either side, but considering New England’s last two games as a three-point underdog resulted in blowout wins, the Patriots are tough to go against.

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