The Atlanta Falcons are 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and face the toughest road task in the league right now against a hot Packers team at frosty Lambeau Field.
Falcons vs. Packers: Betting odds, spread and pick for ‘Monday Night Football’
The Green Bay Packers look to continue their home dominance this Monday night hosting the Atlanta Falcons
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The Falcons however are on 4-0 ATS run as double-digit dogs and this is just third time since 2002 have gotten this many points (13 per sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com). And the Packers lost three of past four Monday Nighters.
But the Packers are 5-0 ATS last 5 games as home favorites (with an average margin of victory 26.4 points).
This one may turn out to be a shootout, but with the way Green Bay is playing at home the Packers appear to be the pick even as a double-digit favorite in a game that the computer thinks could be a tight ATS victory for the Falcons.
OddsShark Computer Prediction: Atlanta 25.9, Green Bay 38.2
Atlanta has turned its season around over the last few weeks. After entering their bye week with an 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS record over their previous five games, the Falcons have emerged from that break with a 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS record. In the lowly NFC South, Atlanta can lose this Monday night and fall to 5-8 SU and would still be in the division lead over New Orleans at 5-8 SU and Carolina at 4-8-1 SU.
The Falcons are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Packers with a 4-5 SU record in those games.
The Packers picked up their fourth straight win and improved to 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS over their last nine games in last week's 26-21 home win over the New England Patriots. In the win, Green Bay also improved to 5-0 SU and ATS over its last five home games with an average margin of victory of 26.4 points per game over that stretch.
Aaron Rodgers has passed for 20 touchdowns and no interceptions in six home games this year.
The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four games between these two teams and 6-2 in Atlanta's last eight games as a road underdog. Monday night's total is set at 55.5 points while the Pack sits atop the Super Bowl odds menu slightly ahead of the Patrots and Broncos.
Atlanta has played well over its last four games, but its three wins have come against Tampa Bay, Carolina and a slumping Arizona. The Falcons haven’t played a team of Green Bay’s caliber of late, and could get a rude awakening as the Packers pick up a win and cover as a 13-point favorite.
