The line favoring the New England Patriots over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football this week has moved slightly. The Patriots opened the week as 7-point favorites, but the line has since moved to as much as 10.5 points for some books. It’s worth noting that the change comes even with Andrew Luck expected to return to action after two weeks out of the lineup.
Patriots vs. Colts odds 2015: New England favored in Deflategate rematch
The New England Patriots visit the Indianapolis Colts as road favorites in a rematch of the AFC Championship Game from last season.
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The Patriots are 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread in their last six games against the Indianapolis Colts including four straight wins by over 20 points. The Patriots are on the road this Sunday night looking for similar results against the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
New England is a 10.5-point road favorite on Sunday according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Indianapolis is 9-0 SU and ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog.
The Patriots had no problem cruising to a win and cover last week as a big road favorite against the Dallas Cowboys. With the 30-6 win, New England improved to 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS on the year and 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS over its last five games.
Tom Brady leads the NFL with 347 passing yards per game and the Patriots offense ranks best in the league in total yards per game with 423.8 and second best in scoring offense with 37.3 points per game.
In addition to their recent success against Indianapolis, the Patriots have always produced good results for their backers on the road against the Colts. New England is a staggering 17-2-1 ATS in its last 20 road games against Indianapolis per the OddsShark NFL Database.
After kicking the season off with an 0-2 SU and ATS start, the Indianapolis Colts have bounced back with wins in each of their last three games.
Andrew Luck is expected to make his return this week after missing the Colts’ last two games with a shoulder injury. Luck will be trying to exorcise his own demons against the Patriots as he has thrown just six touchdowns and 10 interceptions in his four career games against New England, and the Colts are 0-4 SU and ATS over that stretch.
Sunday night’s total is set at 54.5 points. The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Colts and Patriots.
New England is rolling, and given the team’s recent history against the Colts, the Patriots will be a popular pick this Sunday.
But getting 10 points on a team that has pulled off nine straight home upsets and will be out for revenge after last year’s playoff embarassment is too much to pass up. Take the Colts as a 10-point home dog.
New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
When: Sunday, October 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Betting Line / Total: New England -10 / 54.5 Points
