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Come Fan with UsTuesday, June 30, 2026

NBA Finals betting: Cavaliers vs. Warriors Game 1 odds, stats

The Golden State Warriors hope to use their home dominance to their advantage in Game 1 as betting favorites against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors are 46-3 SU and 29-19-1 ATS through their first 49 games at home this season. The Warriors will try to take advantage of their home court to take an early series lead this Thursday night in the NBA Finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Golden State is a 5.5-point favorite at home in Game 1 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. This spread marks the least Golden State has been favored by this postseason and the most Cleveland has been an underdog by in the playoffs.

With the exception of a two-game slump early in their second-round series against the Memphis Grizzlies, the playoffs have mostly been as much of a breeze for the Warriors as the regular season had been.

Golden State opened the postseason with a 5-0 SU run including a sweep of the New Orleans Hornets, and came out of its two-game losing streak against Memphis with a 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS run to close out the Grizzlies and take down the Houston Rockets in five games.

Eight of Golden State’s 12 wins this postseason have been by double digits. The Warriors are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven home games when favored by eight points or less according to the OddsShark NBA Database.

Cleveland’s postseason run looks a lot like Golden State’s does on paper. The Cavaliers opened their playoffs with a sweep in the first round, started off their second round series in a 1-2 hole, and have since been unstoppable.

The Cavaliers have won each of their last seven games including a sweep of the Atlanta Hawks, and are 12-2 SU and 8-6 ATS over the entire postseason so far. LeBron James has averaged 28.4 points per game over Cleveland's current seven-game winning streak.

The Warriors have trended heavily towards the UNDER this postseason with a 10-2 mark on the UNDER over their last 12 games. Thursday’s total for the Cavaliers vs. Warriors betting matchup is set at 203 points at the sportsbooks.

LeBron James and Stephen Curry are arguably the best two players in the game today, and they will try to lead their teams to a key opening game win in Thursday's series opener.

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