The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-7 straight up and 3-5 against the spread in their last eight games against the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs hope to buck this losing trend with a road upset Sunday night at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
Chiefs vs. Broncos odds 2016: Betting trends don’t favor Kansas City against Denver on SNF
The Chiefs visit the Broncos on Sunday night in a battle for positioning in the AFC West, with Kansas City set as the small road underdog at the sportsbooks.
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Kansas City is a 3.5-point road underdog in Denver at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In their last five games coming off a loss as a favorite, the Chiefs are 1-4 ATS.
The Chiefs had a five-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in a surprising 19-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home as a 7-point favorite. The loss dropped Kansas City’s record to 7-3 SU and 4-6 ATS on the season, but the Chiefs are still 18-4 SU and 12-10 ATS over their last 22 games overall and haven’t lost two straight games at any point over that stretch.
Kansas City’s bend-don’t-break defense has produced well this season, allowing only 18.7 points per game and tied for fifth best in the NFL.
Since losing to Denver at home back in September of 2015, the Chiefs are 7-0 SU and 4-3 ATS in divisional matchups, per the OddsShark NFL Database. The Chiefs beat the Broncos 29-13 in their last trip to Denver.
Betting Line / Total: Denver -3.5 / 39.5 Points
Trend: The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Broncos.
Trend: The Broncos are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games after winning as an underdog.
Denver entered its bye coming off a bizarre win, turning what would have been a go-ahead extra point for the New Orleans Saints into a go-ahead two-point play for the Broncos on a block and return to seal a 25-23 road victory.
The Broncos haven’t been dominant this season, but their elite defense and special teams play has them right in the thick of the AFC West division title race with a 7-3 SU and ATS record. Denver is 11-3 SU and 6-8 ATS in its last 14 home games against AFC West opponents.
Sunday night’s total is set at 39.5 points. The UNDER is 6-0 in Kansas City’s last six games.
Each of the last seven games between these two division rivals produced 41 points or more of offense, but that trend could be in jeopardy with the current makeup of these two teams. Points should be hard to come by in what figures to be a physical, close game between two of the AFC’s top contenders.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
When: Sunday, November 27, 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colo.
