The Denver Broncos are 6-1 straight up and against the spread in their last seven games at home against the New England Patriots. The Broncos will be looking for a third straight win over New England this Sunday afternoon in Denver.
Patriots vs. Broncos odds: Denver a Week 15 home betting underdog against New England
The Denver Broncos will at least have the betting trends on their side on Sunday afternoon as they take on the New England Patriots as small home underdogs.
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Denver is a 3-point home underdog at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. This will be just the second time in 2016 that the Broncos have been a home underdog, winning outright as a 3-point home underdog 21-20 against Carolina on opening night.
The defending Super Bowl champions surged out of the gate with a 4-0 SU and ATS start to the season, but since early October, the Broncos have failed to find any rhythm. Denver is 4-5 SU and ATS over its last nine games, including a disappointing performance in a 13-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans last Sunday. With only New England, Kansas City and Oakland remaining on the schedule, there are no guarantees that the Broncos will advance to the postseason.
The Broncos are 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a betting underdog per the OddsShark NFL Database. Denver is also 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog of a field goal or less.
Betting Line / Total: New England -3 / 43.5 Points
Trend: The total has gone OVER in six of the Patriots’ last eight games against the Broncos.
Trend: The Patriots are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games on the road against the Broncos.
New England got 406 passing yards from Tom Brady in a 30-23 win over the Baltimore Ravens last week. Since Brady’s return from his early season suspension, the Patriots are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. The offense has averaged 29.7 points per game and scored at least 22 points in every game over that nine-game stretch. The Patriots are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road.
Sunday’s total is set at 43.5 points. The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight games between these two teams.
Both of these teams have plenty to play for, with New England fighting to hold onto the top seed in the AFC, and Denver fighting to hold onto its Wild Card spot. Tom Brady has 23 touchdown passes with just six interceptions in 10 career games against the Denver Broncos, and will try to keep that success going against the league’s toughest pass defense.
New England Patriots at Denver Broncos
When: Sunday, December 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
