The New England Patriots are 7-0 straight up and 5-2 against the spread over their last seven games against the Jacksonville Jaguars. An eighth straight win over the Jaguars this Sunday would send the Patriots to the Super Bowl for the third time in four years and the eighth time in the last 17 years.
AFC Championship 2018 odds: New England the big betting favorite against Jacksonville
The New England Patriots will be looking to earn another trip to the Super Bowl with a win against Jacksonville on Sunday as clear betting chalk at the sportsbooks.
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New England is a 9.5-point home favorite in Foxborough at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Patriots have won by at least 11 points in each of their last five home games against the Jaguars.
Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots
When: Sunday, Jan. 21, 3:05 p.m. ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.
Betting Line / Total: New England -9.5 / 46.5 Points
New England Patriots
Regardless of what the spread gets set at, the Patriots and their backers don’t seem to mind. New England’s 35-14 win over the Tennessee Titans last Saturday as 13.5-point favorites was the team’s third straight win and cover as a double-digit favorite and brought the Patriots’ record over their last 11 games to 10-1 SU and ATS. The Patriots have won the 10 games over that stretch by an average margin of 15.7 points per game.
The Patriots haven’t lost a playoff game at home since 2013. New England is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS over its last seven postseason games, per the OddsShark NFL Database.
Jacksonville Jaguars
One week after mustering up a measly 10 points at home against the Buffalo Bills, Jacksonville went into Pittsburgh on Sunday and scored 45 points en route to a stunning 45-42 win.
Leonard Fournette led the way for the Jaguars on offense with 109 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. While the offensive outburst was a nice surprise, allowing 469 passing yards and five passing touchdowns on defense doesn’t bode well ahead of a matchup against Tom Brady. Jacksonville is 2-5 SU and ATS in its last seven playoff road games.
Sunday’s total is set at 46.5 points at online sports betting sites. The UNDER is 6-1 in New England’s last seven AFC Championship game appearances.
On paper, this looks like a compelling matchup between the AFC’s best defensive team in the Jaguars and the conference’s best offensive team in the Patriots. But given New England’s history and reputation both in the postseason and against Jacksonville in recent years, it is hard to shake the feeling that the Patriots will be on their way to the big game again.
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