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In the aftermath of Boise State's thumping opening-week victory over↵Oregon and Oregon's post-debacle renaissance, a steady drumbeat has been↵taken up by the commentariat suggesting that Boise's place in the top↵five is a birthright and that the natural winnowing process of the SEC, which↵had three of the four teams in front of Boise, meant that any Texas loss↵meant Boise State would be playing for the national title. They'd↵achieved this status by beating a single okay-to-good Pac-10 team.* ↵
Boise State: No BCS Title For You, Period
↵↵Here’s Stewart Mandel a↵couple weeks ago:↵
↵↵⇥However, there’s very little precedent for voters suddenly↵⇥downgrading a team without cause. ... The Broncos may get docked a↵⇥couple↵⇥of “style points” should they endure an undue scare against a↵⇥San Jose State or Idaho, but realistically, the only way they could fail↵⇥to make up three spots in 10 weeks is if the voters start vaulting↵⇥other, more “deserving” teams above them following a big win↵⇥or two. ...↵⇥
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↵⇥[T]he pollsters have set a precedent by ranking Boise this high this↵⇥soon. If they suddenly turn around at the end of the season and↵⇥blatantly manipulate the rankings to exclude the Broncos, the BCS is↵⇥going to have yet another credibility issue on its hands.↵↵↵If you’re anything like me, those scare quotes around↵“deserving” have you hopping up and down on your hat. There↵is, of course, a huge precedent that happened all of three years ago:↵one-loss, idle Michigan getting jumped by one-loss Florida after USC↵lost to UCLA and Florida beat Arkansas. How did that work out↵again? ↵
↵↵And here’s Clay Travis yesterday:↵
↵↵⇥With four undefeated teams ranked above them, three of whom were from↵⇥the SEC and would play against one another, Boise stood a very real↵⇥possibility of advancing up the poll ranks. With each step up the poll↵⇥rung, Boise would make history, spiting the powers-that-be of the BCS↵⇥along the way.↵⇥
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↵⇥And how couldn’t they advance? After all, pollsters don’t↵⇥typically allow a team who is winning and undefeated to be passed by a↵⇥team with more losses than they have.↵⇥
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↵⇥Only the glass ceiling was upon us.↵↵↵Maybe it’s not fair to jump on these folks the day after Boise’s↵escaped a mid-week game against Tulsa by the skin of their potato, but↵the argument here is explicitly “it does not matter who they play↵or how well they do against them, as long as they win,” so if↵they’d like to complain they’re welcome to change their argument. ↵
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↵↵⇥[H]ow can you justify a one-loss team passing an undefeated team?↵⇥What’s more how can you justify multiple one-loss teams passing Boise as↵⇥the coaches’ have done? Close your eyes and recite the arguments against↵⇥Boise State: they don’t belong up here because they haven’t been here↵⇥before, the people around them aren’t as good, they aren’t as talented↵⇥as the others are, they only got to where they have because the people↵⇥they compete against are weaker; aren’t those the exact same↵⇥rationales that excluded women and minorities from climbing all the way↵⇥to the top? ↵↵↵And now this intermission so I can beat my head against the wall and↵scream “no, no, no!”↵
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↵↵No ... no ... NOOOOO ... COBRAS ... ah we’re back. No, the arguments↵against Boise State are not the same ones used to exclude women and minorities↵from positions of authority. Women do not have a dismal record against↵BCS conferences. Minorities have not padded their record against the↵worst teams in the MAC, taken on one BCS opponent and been declared↵legitimate national title contenders. Sure, if there were↵absolutely no reason to believe Boise State wasn’t as talented as its↵privileged brethren, then this would be equivalent, but that is not the case. “Talent” doesn’t have anything to do with it. That↵scare-quoted “deserves” does. College football already suffers↵from a vast overrating of the loss column relative to all other factors,↵and shooting Boise State into the title game after it played one game↵against a team that would be over .500 in a BCS conference would once↵and forever destroy the idea that a good non-conference schedule is↵worth anything. That a good schedule, period, is worth anything.↵
↵↵Deserve has everything to do with it. It must in this stupid system.↵There are not slots to give away to potential Cinderellas. The BCS↵realpolitik demands that the two teams that have proven themselves best↵against what looks like tough competition get the slots. Do we↵know? No. College football doesn’t have enough information, so we’re↵forced to make wild meandering guesses. It’s a dumb system, I’ll grant↵that. ↵
↵↵But it’s the system. Give any big BCS contender Boise’s schedule and↵they’d traipse through a merry field of cupcakes, laying waste. Bunnies↵going up in tactical nuclear strikes, that sort of thing. Stick Boise↵State in the Pac-10 or SEC and they come out of it with something less↵than a national championship resume. This, surely, is not in dispute.↵Nothing else matters. ↵
↵↵Of course it’s not fair. It’s life. ↵
↵↵*(All this would be much less annoying if Oregon hadn’t won its next↵game against 1-5 Purdue thanks to two return touchdowns.)↵
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