Scott Burton over at ESPN highlights quarterbacks whose red-zone play and overall play have diverged. Burton notes that there generally aren’t good or bad “red-zone” quarterbacks; there are just good and bad quarterbacks. Over a large enough sample, you would expect the numbers to be roughly the same.
Buy Low And Sell High QBs
↵Using Football Outsiders’ DVOA -- which tells you how much better or worse a player does in a given situation compared to an “average” player -- Burton shows which quarterbacks have been playing at a very high level in the red zone and are likely do for a fall, and which haven’t fared as well and should be due a nice rebound.
↵The Sell-Highs: Donovan McNabb, Carson Palmer, and Eli Manning
↵The Buy: Lows: Tom Brady, Tony Romo, and Joe Flacco
↵Of course, trends don’t always necessarily revert to the mean within a single season, and rest of the season schedules matter as well, but this is something you might want to keep in mind as the trade deadline approaches.
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