Scott Reynolds at The Copper & Blue has a great article examining the correlation between a team’s record after 15 games and their final record for the season.
Analyzing Win-Loss Records After 15 Games
↵↵No team since the lockout has made the playoffs after earning 12 or fewer points in the first 15 games of the season. In fact, only 2 of the 14 teams have gone on to post 82 points or more. This year that’s bad news for Minnesota, Carolina and Florida and extremely bad news for the Toronto Maple Leafs. This data implies that it’s very likely Boston will be picking in the top ten with the pick they acquired in the Phil Kessel trade. Kessel himself was chosen 5th overall so that doesn’t automatically make the swap a loss. That depends a whole lot more on how Kessel actually plays. Nonetheless, it probably wasn’t what Brian Burke had in mind.
↵↵You can read the rest of the article here. It even has graphs and stats and logic and stuff.
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