Going into 2010 mixed league drafts, I have a feeling that the Tigers Miguel Cabrera will probably be drafted higher than the Reds Joey Votto. Cabrera will more than likely be drafted in the 3rd round, with Votto in the 4th or 5th round. But after analyzing their stats for 2009, I am not so sure Miggy should be drafted that much higher than Votto.
Who Would You Rather Have: Miguel Cabrera Or Joey Votto??
Let’s take a look at their 2009 stats:
As you can see, in 150 less ABs, Votto drove in only 14 less runs, and hit 9 less HRs. Votto’s BA, OBP, SLG and OPS are either better or very competitive to Cabrera’s. Keep in mind that Votto was out for about a month with depression in 2009, and we don’t know how long his performance was impacted by his condition. What we do know is Votto hits in a hitters park and is still maturing as a hitter.
Bill James project Cabrera to go 36-124-101-.318-.394-.569 in 2010, and Votto to go 27-90-80-.311-.397-.550. There’s a big difference in HRs and RBIs that we did not see in 2009 on a relative basis. James may be a little light on Votto’s projection.
Going into 2010 drafts, you may want to pass on drafting Miggy, maybe get that stud third baseman instead, and draft your first baseman a few rounds later. Should you land Votto, you won’t be disappointed.
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