Skip to main content
Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

Kentucky Derby 2016 picks and predictions: Nyquist the favorite, but field is wide open

If you buy something from a link, Vox Media may earn a commission. See our ethics statement.

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

The 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby will take place on Saturday at Churchill Downs, and while Nyquist is the favorite there are a number of horses seen as challengers to win the most prestigious race in the sport.

When American Pharoah won at Churchill Downs in 20015 en route to the sport’s first triple crown in 37 years, he was the third consecutive favorite to win the race, at 5/2 odds just as California Chrome was in 2014. The 2013 winner, Orb, was the favorite at 5/4 odds.

Nyquist comes in on Saturday at 3/1 odds, and enters the Kentucky Derby undefeated in seven career races, including the San Vicente Stakes and Florida Derby in 2016. However, he will be challenged by several others, including Exaggerator at 8/1, as well as Creator, Gun Runner, and Mohaymen, the latter trio coming in at 10/1.

Here are some expert picks entering Saturday, including our own Kurt Mensching picking Exaggerator to emerge victorious.

Expert Outlet Kentucky Derby pick
Kurt Mensching SB Nation Exaggerator (8/1)
John Asher Churchill Downs Mohaymen (10/1)
Jill Byrne Churchill Downs Mor Spirit (12/1)
Joe Drappe New York Times Mor Spirit (12/1)
Chris Fallica ESPN Majesto (30/1)
Trixie Hammer Lady & The Track Creator (10/1)
Melissa Hoppert New York Times Nyquist (3/1)
Jonathan Lintner Louisville Courier-Journal Nyquist (3/1)
Laffit Pincay NBC Sports Outwork (15/1)
Kentucky Derby
Full results, payouts, purse money for 152nd Kentucky DerbyFull results, payouts, purse money for 152nd Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby

Here are the final results for the 2026 Kentucky Derby

By Collin Sherwin
Kentucky Derby
Latest odds for 2026 Kentucky DerbyLatest odds for 2026 Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby

We take a look at how the prices are currently before the Run for the Roses in Louisville on Saturday. We’ll update through post time at the 2026 Kentucky Derby.

By Collin Sherwin
Triple Crown
Everything to know heading into the 2026 Kentucky DerbyEverything to know heading into the 2026 Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby
Watch the full race video of Sovereignty win in 2025 Kentucky DerbyWatch the full race video of Sovereignty win in 2025 Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby

Sovereignty wins the 151st Kentucky Derby as he beats back the favorite journalism. Watch the video here.

By Collin Sherwin
Kentucky Derby
Full results, payouts, purse money for 151st Kentucky DerbyFull results, payouts, purse money for 151st Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby

Here are the final results for the 2025 Kentucky Derby

By Ricky O'Donnell
Kentucky Derby
Latest odds for 2025 Kentucky DerbyLatest odds for 2025 Kentucky Derby
Kentucky Derby

We take a look at how the prices are currently before the Run for the Roses in Louisville on Saturday. We’ll update through post time at the 2025 Kentucky Derby.

By Collin Sherwin