The New England Patriots have won five Lombardi Trophies during the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era, but as dominant as the team has been, every one of their Super Bowl wins has come down to the wire. The Patriots are 3-2 against the spread in their five games, but all five have been decided by a last-minute score and/or defensive stop.
This Patriots statistic provides your best chance to win a Super Bowl prop bet
We’re looking for every edge we can get against the house!
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One reason the games have been so close is due to the Patriots’ struggles in the first quarter. In seven Super Bowl appearances under Belichick, the Patriots have not scored a single point in the first quarter.
If you are looking to make a few bucks (or at least moderately entertain yourself), first quarter wagers might be the way to go. You can bet on a host of prop bets, but the best bet would be the first quarter point total. That number has been set at 9.5 points, per Odds Shark. A field goal and a touchdown puts you over that total, but in seven Patriots Super Bowls, 15 total points have been scored in the first quarter between the teams involved. That means an average of 2.1 points per first quarter.
Another wager to consider would be the first quarter line. The Patriots are installed as half-point favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles for the first quarter. The Patriots might very well win this game, but if they continue their first quarter scoring struggles, betting the Eagles to cover in the first quarter is a strong option.
Each game is its own unique data point, and past performance is not indicative of future returns. That being said, if you are looking for any kind of edge at all against the house, this might be it.
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