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Come Fan with UsSaturday, June 20, 2026

3 potential quarterback busts to avoid in early fantasy draft rounds

You’ve been warned.

I hope I’m wrong about these quarterbacks becoming fantasy football busts because I don’t want them to fail. Nonetheless each season, some of us fall victim to heartbreak as we watch our high-round quarterback fail to deliver on his ADP. Injuries, inconsistent performances and changes in coaching philosophies among other factors may turn our quarterback into a bust. Below are three quarterbacks who owners should avoid in early rounds.

Andrew Luck - Indianapolis Colts

Luck remains a mystery heading into the 2018 season. He missed the entire 2017 season and was severely limited in his work during minicamp. The team is also bringing in a new offense with the complete makeover of the coaching staff.

Luck says the pain is gone in his surgically-repaired shoulder. That’s news we’ve been waiting awhile for, but what if he receives a monster hit on that shoulder? How much risk of re-injuring that shoulder is there? Can the offensive line protect him for a full 16 games?

There are too many red flags for me to make him my starter in 2018. Luck should not be drafted based on his past numbers because we have no idea if he’s the same quarterback. He appears to be on the right track but he’s not worth the headache.

Derek Carr - Oakland Raiders

Carr disappointed in 2017 and part of the reason was his back injury in Week 4. He was expected to miss multiple games but ended up missing only one. He appeared to hit his stride mid-season with three games averaging 343 passing yards.

Carr’s touchdown passes have now decreased for three straight seasons. The Raiders brought in Jon Gruden and Greg Olson to fix the offense. Gruden is obviously very hands on with the quarterback position. Will he be able to adjust to the game after nine years in the broadcast booth?

Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant were added to replace Michael Crabtree. Doug Martin was added to the backfield. Does Nelson have anything left in the tank or is he washed up? Will Bryant stay out of trouble or is there a pending suspension? If this was 2014, the lineup would be dynamite with those three and Marshawn Lynch. The offensive philosophy is a question mark and that leaves me passing on Carr. I would not draft him this season because of all the question marks.

Matt Ryan - Atlanta Falcons

Matt Ryan is the best quarterback in Atlanta’s franchise history. His 2017 season was super disappointing and resulted in his lowest amount of passing touchdowns since his rookie season.

The offense tilted towards the run and it’s hard to see them shifting back towards the pass in 2018. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman form one of the best backfields in the league. Even with an injury to one of them, the offense will not miss a beat.

My main concern is the man pulling the strings on offense, Steve Sarkisian. He doesn’t seem to be able to use his offensive pieces in the same way as Kyle Shanahan. I think he’ll hold back the passing game for another season despite the multitude of weapons.

I also don’t like the way the schedule sets up to start the season for the passing game with Philadelphia, Carolina, and New Orleans. I’m very skeptical of a rebound season for Ryan and the passing offense. Let someone else take the risk of drafting him.

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