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Come Fan with UsFriday, July 3, 2026

Oklahoma vs. Baylor betting trends: Vegas trending towards Bears

After starting with a relatively close line, Vegas is predicting a Baylor blowout over Oklahoma.

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma and Baylor square off in a huge Thursday night Big 12 showdown. Both are national title contenders on the outside looking in at the championship game picture, and the winning team will be able to remain in the discussion through the weekend (while the loser is likely out of the Big 12 title picture as well).

The line opened with the Bears as seven-point favorites, but that has continued to move exponentially in Baylor’s favor, with Art Briles’s team now 15-point favorites (and check for more trends at OddsShark.com). It’s expected to be a high-scoring game, with the over/under at 72.5 points.

Oklahoma has won 15 of the last 16 games against Baylor straight-up, but the Bears are 9-7 against the spread in that period. This is the first time Baylor has been favored over Oklahoma since 1998. The last three games between the two schools have hit the over.

In the past 15 seasons, Oklahoma has been a double-digit underdog just once -- in 2005 against Vince Young’s Texas, a game the Sooners would lose 45-12. The Sooners were 10-point favorites to Florida State in the 2001 Orange Bowl, and won that game 13-2.

In their past nine games within the Big 12, Oklahoma is 2-7 against the spread. In their past 16 games within conference play, Baylor is 13-3 against the spread.

More from SB Nation college football:

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TV schedule guide: The season’s best weekend yet

Coach salaries database led by Saban, Brown

At the scene of the SEC’s newest bitter rivalry

• Long read: Inside Chip Kelly’s New Hampshire laboratory

• Watch Easy Call’s Week 11 picks and nuggets:

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