The Arkansas Razorbacks are 0-16 SU and 6-10 ATS in their last 16 games against SEC opponents. Arkansas hopes to shock the college football world and playoff picture with an upset win on the road against No. 1 Mississippi State this Saturday. Arkansas faces Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium at 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN2) this Saturday.
Arkansas at Mississippi State betting odds guide and prediction
Mississippi State looks to avoid letdown game hosting Arkansas this Saturday.
Mississippi State is a 10.5-point favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. With nothing to look ahead to next week and this game coming at home, Mississippi State should be able to handle its business and pick up a win and cover.
Against out of conference opponents this season, Arkansas is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS, outscoring opponents 219 to 66. But in conference, the Razorbacks just can’t get over the hump with an 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS record. Arkansas lost in overtime to Texas A&M on the road and by only one point at home against Alabama. It feels like the Razorbacks will get that elusive conference win soon, but with a 3-10 ATS record in its last 13 conference road games it isn’t likely to come this week.
OddsShark Computer Prediction: Mississippi State 40.5, Arkansas 25.8
It wasn’t the prettiest of games, but Mississippi State did enough to get the win in a 45-31 victory on the road against Kentucky last Saturday. Mississippi State is now 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS on the season and has been extremely consistent on offense averaging 42.3 points per game with at least 34 points in every game so far this season. The Bulldogs enter this game with an 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 home games against SEC opponents and an 11-4 ATS record in their last 15 home games overall.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Arkansas’ last 16 games as a road underdog. The OVER is also 6-1 in the last seven games between Arkansas and Mississippi State.
Arkansas’ strong running game should be able to produce some points and prevent this game from being a total blowout. But the Razorbacks haven’t shown enough on defense to suggest that they can slow down this Mississippi State attack, especially on the road. As a 10.5-point favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, Mississippi State should earn a win and cover.
