2016 Liberty Bowl advanced stats tale of the tape: Arkansas vs. Kansas State
Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
January 02 ( 3:20 PM ET, ESPN ), Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis
Spread: Arkansas -11
S&P+ Projection: Arkansas 40.4, Kansas State 24.4
Team Sites: Bring On The Cats, Arkansas Fight
Confused? Check out the advanced-stats glossary here.
The Basics
| Category | Kansas State | Arkansas | ||
| S&P+ (Rk) | 80 | 16 | ||
| Category | Kansas State offense | Arkansas defense | Arkansas offense | Kansas State defense |
| Yards per play (Rk) | 4.82 (111) | 5.86 (107) | 6.40 (16) | 5.75 (97) |
| Yards per game (Rk) | 347.3 (108) | 400.6 (71) | 444.3 (35) | 431.7 (99) |
| Points per possession (Rk) | 2.33 (58) | 2.45 (96) | 2.99 (12) | 2.28 (82) |
| Category | Kansas State offense | Arkansas defense | Arkansas offense | Kansas State defense |
| S&P+ (Rk) | 27.9 (75) | 28.6 (71) | 43.5 (2) | 29.3 (75) |
| Rushing S&P+ (Rk) | 107.9 (45) | 102.9 (56) | 123.2 (10) | 94.6 (86) |
| Passing S&P+ (Rk) | 84.9 (110) | 83.6 (118) | 151.4 (1) | 98.7 (73) |
| Standard Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 98.2 (80) | 90.8 (102) | 126.0 (4) | 94.7 (87) |
| Passing Downs S&P+ (Rk) | 89.0 (96) | 93.7 (89) | 157.5 (1) | 103.1 (63) |
| Q1 S&P+ (Rk) | 104.4 (62) | 97.7 (70) | 136.7 (4) | 90.6 (95) |
| Q2 S&P+ (Rk) | 95.2 (90) | 86.5 (108) | 147.7 (1) | 92.8 (92) |
| Q3 S&P+ (Rk) | 84.4 (113) | 97.2 (79) | 132.1 (5) | 114.5 (29) |
| Q4 S&P+ (Rk) | 100.5 (82) | 96.7 (78) | 113.9 (26) | 98.4 (70) |
Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)
* or smallest disadvantages
Kansas State
- Redzone S&P+ (No. 39 offense vs. No. 112 defense)
- Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 9 offense vs. No. 77 defense)
- Short-Yardage Rushing (No. 69 offense vs. No. 125 defense)
- Short-Yardage Rushing (No. 6 defense vs. No. 59 offense)
- Standard Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 46 offense vs. No. 97 defense)
Arkansas
- Redzone S&P+ (No. 1 offense vs. No. 86 defense)
- Standard Downs S&P+ (No. 4 offense vs. No. 87 defense)
- First Down S&P+ (No. 1 offense vs. No. 82 defense)
- Standard Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 3 offense vs. No. 83 defense)
- Overall S&P+ (No. 1 offense vs. No. 81 defense)
Five Factors
| Category | Kansas State offense | Arkansas defense | Arkansas offense | Kansas State defense |
| EXPLOSIVENESS | 1.11 (123) | 1.20 (35) | 1.27 (62) | 1.29 (81) |
| EFFICIENCY | 42.3% (62) | 48.6% (123) | 50.8% (3) | 46.9% (114) |
| FIELD POSITION | 32.1 (28) | 27.1 (15) | 33.1 (12) | 30.3 (78) |
| FINISHING DRIVES | 5.3 (20) | 5.0 (97) | 5.3 (15) | 4.6 (61) |
| TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED: Kansas State 1.07 (60) Arkansas 1.32 (58) | ACTUAL Kansas State -3 (87) Arkansas 7 (25) | ||
Offensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Kansas State offense | Arkansas offense |
| Adj. Pace | -1.8 (74) | -2.9 (87) |
| Plays per game | 72.1 (76) | 69.4 (98) |
| Possessions per game | 13.1 (65) | 11.8 (122) |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 70.1% (16) | 65.0% (32) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 26.9% (102) | 24.0% (117) |
| % of solo tackles | 90.9% (1) | 65.2% (119) |
Defensive Footprint
| Category (Rk) | Kansas State defense | Arkansas defense |
| Std. Downs Run Rate | 51.5% (121) | 54.4% (115) |
| Pass. Downs Run Rate | 27.4% (117) | 30.8% (90) |
| Overall Havoc Rate | 14.3% (96) | 15.7% (69) |
| Front 7 Havoc Rate | 9.7% (63) | 9.2% (71) |
| DB Havoc Rate | 4.4% (117) | 6.3% (65) |
| PD to INC | 28.4% (100) | 35.7% (37) |
When Kansas State has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Kansas State Offense | Arkansas Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 98.2 | 80 | 90.8 | 102 | Kansas State |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 48.2 | 45 | 52.7 | 115 | Kansas State big |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 0.95 | 123 | 1.14 | 63 | Arkansas big |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.06 | 39 | 2.80 | 53 | Kansas State |
| SD Sack Rate | 6.3% | 92 | 4% | 99 | |
Passing Downs
| Kansas State Offense | Arkansas Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 89.0 | 96 | 93.7 | 89 | |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 29.2 | 76 | 38.9 | 123 | Kansas State |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.65 | 93 | 1.98 | 18 | Arkansas big |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.33 | 52 | 2.99 | 47 | |
| PD Sack Rate | 11.2% | 113 | 4.2% | 115 | |
When Arkansas has the ball…
Standard Downs
| Arkansas Offense | Kansas State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Standard Downs S&P+ | 126.0 | 4 | 94.7 | 87 | Arkansas big |
| Standard Downs Success Rate | 54.0 | 8 | 53.5 | 119 | Arkansas big |
| Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.09 | 67 | 1.09 | 81 | Arkansas |
| SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.26 | 17 | 2.98 | 82 | Arkansas big |
| SD Sack Rate | 1.6% | 7 | 4.9% | 71 | Arkansas big |
Passing Downs
| Arkansas Offense | Kansas State Defense | ||||
| Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Edge | |
| Passing Downs S&P+ | 157.5 | 1 | 103.1 | 63 | Arkansas big |
| Passing Downs Success Rate | 42.0 | 2 | 30.0 | 57 | Arkansas big |
| Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.88 | 39 | 1.56 | 117 | Arkansas big |
| PD Line Yards per Carry | 3.82 | 15 | 3.46 | 88 | Arkansas big |
| PD Sack Rate | 5.9% | 39 | 13.3% | 4 | Kansas State |
Individual Passing Stats
| Team | Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate | Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
| Kansas State | Joe Hubener | 6'5, 211 | JR | 131 | 274 | 1837 | 9 | 9 | 47.8% | 21 | 7.1% | 5.7 |
| Kansas State | Zach Davidson | 6'3, 222 | FR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Kansas State | ||||||||||||
| Arkansas | Brandon Allen | 6'2, 210 | SR | 224 | 344 | 3125 | 29 | 7 | 65.1% | 12 | 3.4% | 8.6 |
| Arkansas | Austin Allen | 6'1, 210 | SO | 1 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 11.7 |
| Arkansas |
Individual Rushing Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry | Hlt Yds/ Opp. | Opp. Rate |
| Kansas State | Joe Hubener | QB | 6'5, 211 | JR | 159 | 770 | 13 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 40.9% |
| Kansas State | Charles Jones | RB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 136 | 656 | 5 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 45.6% |
| Kansas State | Justin Silmon | RB | 5'10, 191 | FR | 77 | 353 | 2 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 42.9% |
| Kansas State | Kody Cook | WR | 6'1, 200 | SR | 44 | 196 | 2 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 31.8% |
| Arkansas | Alex Collins | RB | 5'11, 215 | JR | 248 | 1392 | 17 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 43.1% |
| Arkansas | Kody Walker | RB | 6'2, 256 | JR | 79 | 338 | 5 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 35.4% |
| Arkansas | Rawleigh Williams III | RB | 5'10, 215 | FR | 56 | 254 | 1 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 28.6% |
| Arkansas | Brandon Allen | QB | 6'2, 210 | SR | 42 | 195 | 1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 45.2% |
| NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. | ||||||||||
Individual Receiving Stats
| Team | Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch | Yds/ Target | Catch Rate |
| Kansas State | Deante Burton | WR | 6'2, 205 | JR | 86 | 34 | 477 | 4 | 14.0 | 5.6 | 39.5% |
| Kansas State | Kody Cook | WR | 6'1, 200 | SR | 47 | 27 | 412 | 3 | 15.3 | 8.8 | 57.4% |
| Kansas State | Dominique Heath | WR | 5'9, 175 | FR | 42 | 27 | 298 | 3 | 11.0 | 7.1 | 64.3% |
| Kansas State | Kyle Klein | WR | 6'4, 210 | SR | 37 | 18 | 275 | 1 | 15.3 | 7.4 | 48.6% |
| Kansas State | Andre Davis | WR | 6'0, 203 | SR | 25 | 12 | 166 | 0 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 48.0% |
| Kansas State | Charles Jones | RB | 5'10, 206 | JR | 16 | 12 | 139 | 0 | 11.6 | 8.7 | 75.0% |
| Kansas State | Zach Reuter | WR | 6'3, 190 | FR | 13 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 23.1% |
| Arkansas | Drew Morgan | WR | 6'0, 195 | JR | 71 | 55 | 751 | 10 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 77.5% |
| Arkansas | Hunter Henry | TE | 6'5, 253 | JR | 68 | 47 | 707 | 3 | 15.0 | 10.4 | 69.1% |
| Arkansas | Dominique Reed | WR | 6'3, 180 | JR | 46 | 27 | 520 | 6 | 19.3 | 11.3 | 58.7% |
| Arkansas | Jeremy Sprinkle | TE | 6'6, 255 | JR | 39 | 24 | 327 | 5 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 61.5% |
| Arkansas | Jared Cornelius | WR | 5'11, 202 | SO | 33 | 22 | 358 | 3 | 16.3 | 10.9 | 66.7% |
| Arkansas | Keon Hatcher | WR | 6'2, 210 | SR | 23 | 13 | 198 | 2 | 15.2 | 8.6 | 56.5% |
| Arkansas | Alex Collins | RB | 5'11, 215 | JR | 14 | 13 | 64 | 0 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 92.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
| Team | Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | % of Team | TFL | Sacks | Int | PBU | FF | FR |
| Kansas State | Elijah Lee | LB | 6'3, 218 | SO | 68.5 | 9.9% | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Donnie Starks | DB | 6'0, 180 | JR | 48.5 | 7.0% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Kaleb Prewett | DB | 6'1, 204 | SO | 46.5 | 6.7% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Sean Newlan | DB | 6'2, 204 | SO | 46.5 | 6.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Will Davis | LB | 6'0, 224 | JR | 44.0 | 6.4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Charmeachealle Moore | LB | 6'0, 221 | JR | 42.0 | 6.1% | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Will Geary | DT | 6'0, 297 | SO | 40.0 | 5.8% | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Nate Jackson | DB | 5'11, 185 | SR | 36.0 | 5.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Morgan Burns | DB | 5'11, 201 | SR | 32.5 | 4.7% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Kendall Adams | DB | 6'1, 213 | FR | 32.0 | 4.6% | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Travis Britz | DT | 6'4, 293 | SR | 31.5 | 4.6% | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Tanner Wood | DE | 6'5, 263 | SO | 29.5 | 4.3% | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Duke Shelley | DB | 5'9, 160 | FR | 28.0 | 4.1% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Brooks Ellis | LB | 6'2, 242 | JR | 72.5 | 11.5% | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Arkansas | Dre Greenlaw | LB | 6'0, 222 | FR | 68.5 | 10.9% | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Rohan Gaines | DB | 5'11, 195 | SR | 51.0 | 8.1% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Henre’ Toliver | DB | 6'1, 186 | SO | 49.0 | 7.8% | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Jeremiah Ledbetter | DL | 6'3, 280 | JR | 37.5 | 6.0% | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Josh Liddell | DB | 6'1, 210 | SO | 35.5 | 5.6% | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Jared Collins | DB | 5'11, 172 | JR | 32.5 | 5.2% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Kevin Richardson II | DB | 6'0, 175 | SO | 29.0 | 4.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | DJ Dean | DB | 5'11, 202 | JR | 28.0 | 4.4% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Santos Ramirez | DB | 6'2, 202 | FR | 26.5 | 4.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Deatrich Wise Jr. | DL | 6'5, 272 | JR | 22.0 | 3.5% | 10.5 | 8.0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Arkansas | DeMarcus Hodge | DL | 6'1, 340 | SR | 20.5 | 3.3% | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Tevin Beanum | DL | 6'4, 280 | SO | 19.5 | 3.1% | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Note: It appears "Fumble Returns" are getting pulled instead of "Fumble Recoveries." My apologies. Will try to get that corrected. | ||||||||||||
Individual Special Teams Stats
| Team | Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
| Kansas State | Nick Walsh | 5'11, 212 | SO | 63 | 41.5 | 8 | 24 | 12 | 57.1% |
| Kansas State | Mitch Lochbihler | 6'7, 240 | SO | 4 | 44.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Arkansas | Toby Baker | 6'3, 202 | JR | 42 | 41.3 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 73.8% |
| Team | Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches | Onside Att | Onside Success |
| Kansas State | Ian Patterson | 6'0, 211 | JR | 60 | 60.8 | 15 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas State | Jack Cantele | 6'0, 175 | SR | 7 | 43.1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Arkansas | Lane Saling | 5'8, 170 | SO | 66 | 61.5 | 11 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Arkansas | Adam McFain | 6'0, 187 | JR | 2 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
| Kansas State | Jack Cantele | 6'0, 175 | SR | 29-29 | 12-14 | 85.7% |
| Kansas State | Matthew McCrane | 5'10, 165 | SO | 13-13 | 4-4 | 100.0% |
| Arkansas | Cole Hedlund | 5'10, 165 | FR | 52-52 | 8-13 | 61.5% |
| Team | Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kansas State | Morgan Burns | 5'11, 201 | SR | 31 | 33.8 | 4 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Kansas State | Dominique Heath | 5'9, 175 | FR | 4 | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Arkansas | Eric Hawkins | 5'11, 180 | JR | 10 | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Arkansas | Dominique Reed | 6'3, 180 | JR | 8 | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
| Team | Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
| Kansas State | Dominique Heath | 5'9, 175 | FR | 20 | 7.5 | 0 | 5 | 2 (0) |
| Kansas State | Andre Davis | 6'0, 203 | SR | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 (0) |
| Arkansas | DJ Dean | 5'11, 202 | JR | 7 | 13.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 (0) |
| Arkansas | Jared Cornelius | 5'11, 202 | SO | 5 | 18.6 | 0 | 5 | 0 (0) |
Stats via SportSource Analytics
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