2016 Las Vegas Bowl stats preview: Houston vs. San Diego State advanced tale of the tape

Houston Cougars (9-3) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (10-3)

December 17, 2016 ( 3:30 PM ET, ABC )

Spread: Houston -3.5

S&P+ Projection: Houston (28.3-24.7)

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Statistical profiles index.
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The Basics

Five biggest advantages* (according to the advanced stats)

_{* or smallest disadvantages}

Houston

1. Standard Downs Sack Rate (No. 20 defense vs. No. 123 offense)
2. Passing Downs S&P+ (No. 11 defense vs. No. 107 offense)
3. Passing Downs Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 13 defense vs. No. 109 offense)
4. Passing Downs Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 12 defense vs. No. 105 offense)
5. Adj. Line Yards (No. 3 defense vs. No. 91 offense)

San Diego State

1. Rushing Explosiveness (IsoPPP) (No. 3 defense vs. No. 90 offense)
2. Rushing S&P+ (No. 5 defense vs. No. 91 offense)
3. Adj. Line Yards (No. 34 defense vs. No. 114 offense)
4. First Down S&P+ (No. 17 defense vs. No. 80 offense)
5. Rushing Efficiency (Success Rate) (No. 18 defense vs. No. 76 offense)

Five Factors

Offensive Footprint

Defensive Footprint

When Houston has the ball…

Standard Downs

Passing Downs

When San Diego State has the ball…

Standard Downs

Passing Downs

_{Stats via SportSource Analytics}