We now have win total over/unders for all 130 FBS teams in 2017, via South Point Sportsbook. This is the number of regular season wins you can bet on each team exceeding or falling short of, meaning these numbers are good gauges of national expectations for everybody.
How the 2017 college football season will go if Vegas is right about everything
Predicted (so to speak) conference standings, Playoff teams, and more.
Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images
The whole list is grouped by conference below, but if all this turned out as presented to bettors, the highlights would be something like this (though keep in mind Vegas doesn’t distinguish between conference wins and total wins):
- Conference title games: Clemson/FSU vs. Miami, Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State, Ohio State vs. Wisconsin, Washington vs. USC, Georgia vs. Alabama, USF vs. Houston, Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech, Miami (Ohio) vs. Western Michigan, and Boise State vs. San Diego State.
- Assuming no surprises among those, the Playoff would have Alabama and Ohio State as the top two seeds, USC or Washington at No. 3, and Oklahoma at No. 4.
- The ACC would be the excluded Power 5 for the first time.
- USF appears to be the New Year’s Six favorite among mid-majors. BYU isn’t eligible for a NY6 bowl auto bid, but can make it if it ranks in the top 10 or so.
- Odds elsewhere have USC QB Sam Darnold as the Heisman favorite, with Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield, Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, and Ohio State QB J.T. Barrett next.
- We’ve also used similar numbers to guess which coaches will be fired, foreseeing clear trouble for Butch Jones, Kliff Kingsbury, Jim Mora, and Kevin Sumlin.
Here’s everything. Ties went to the teams given better sportsbook odds of beating their over/unders.
2017 college football standings, based on win total over/unders
Team | Rank | Win total over/under |
|---|---|---|
| ACC Atlantic | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Clemson | 1 (tie) | 9.5 |
| FSU | 1 (tie) | 9.5 |
| Louisville | 3 | 9.5 |
| NC State | 4 | 6.5 |
| Wake Forest | 5 | 5.5 |
| Syracuse | 6 | 4 |
| Boston College | 7 | 4 |
| ACC Coastal | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Miami | 1 | 9 |
| Virginia Tech | 2 | 8.5 |
| North Carolina | 3 | 7 |
| Pitt | 4 | 6.5 |
| Georgia Tech | 5 | 6 |
| Virginia | 6 | 5.5 |
| Duke | 7 | 4.5 |
| Big 12 | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Oklahoma | 1 | 10 |
| Oklahoma State | 2 | 9 |
| Baylor | 3 (tie) | 8 |
| TCU | 3 (tie) | 8 |
| Texas | 5 | 7.5 |
| Kansas State | 6 | 7.5 |
| West Virginia | 7 | 6 |
| Iowa State | 8 | 5.5 |
| Texas Tech | 9 | 4.5 |
| Kansas | 10 | 2.5 |
| Big Ten East | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Ohio State | 1 | 10.5 |
| Penn State | 2 | 10 |
| Michigan | 3 | 8.5 |
| Indiana | 4 | 6.5 |
| Michigan State | 5 | 5 |
| Rutgers | 6 | 3 |
| Maryland | 7 | 3 |
| Big Ten West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Wisconsin | 1 | 10.5 |
| Northwestern | 2 | 8.5 |
| Minnesota | 3 | 7.5 |
| Nebraska | 4 | 7 |
| Iowa | 5 | 7 |
| Illinois | 6 | 3.5 |
| Purdue | 7 | 2.5 |
| Pac-12 North | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Washington | 1 | 10 |
| Stanford | 2 | 9 |
| Oregon | 3 | 7.5 |
| Washington State | 4 | 7 |
| Oregon State | 5 | 5.5 |
| Cal | 6 | 3.5 |
| Pac-12 South | Rank | Win total over/under |
| USC | 1 | 10 |
| Colorado | 2 | 7.5 |
| UCLA | 3 | 7 |
| Utah | 4 | 5.5 |
| Arizona State | 5 | 5 |
| Arizona | 6 | 4.5 |
| SEC East | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Georgia | 1 | 9 |
| Florida | 2 | 8 |
| Tennessee | 3 | 7.5 |
| Kentucky | 4 | 7 |
| Vanderbilt | 5 | 6 |
| Missouri | 6 | 6 |
| South Carolina | 7 | 5 |
| SEC West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Alabama | 1 | 10.5 |
| Auburn | 2 (tie) | 9 |
| LSU | 2 (tie) | 9 |
| Texas A&M | 4 | 7.5 |
| Arkansas | 5 | 6 |
| Ole Miss | 6 | 5.5 |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 5 |
| AAC East | Rank | Win total over/under |
| USF | 1 | 10 |
| UCF | 2 | 7.5 |
| Temple | 3 | 7 |
| Cincinnati | 4 | 5 |
| UConn | 5 | 4 |
| East Carolina | 6 | 2.5 |
| AAC West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Houston | 1 | 8.5 |
| Memphis | 2 | 8.5 |
| Tulsa | 3 | 7.5 |
| Navy | 4 | 7 |
| SMU | 5 | 5 |
| Tulane | 6 | 4.5 |
| Independents | Rank | Win total over/under |
| BYU | idk | 10 |
| Army | lol | 8 |
| Notre Dame | brb | 7.5 |
| UMass | gtg | 2.5 |
| C-USA East | Rank | Win total over/under |
| WKU | 1 | 9.5 |
| MTSU | 2 | 7.5 |
| Old Dominion | 3 | 6.5 |
| Marshall | 4 | 5 |
| FIU | 5 | 4.5 |
| FAU | 6 | 4 |
| Charlotte | 7 | 4 |
| C-USA West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Louisiana Tech | 1 | 9 |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 7.5 |
| UTSA | 3 | 6.5 |
| North Texas | 4 | 4 |
| Rice | 5 | 3.5 |
| UAB | 6 | 2.5 |
| UTEP | 7 | 2.5 |
| MAC East | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Miami (OH) | 1 | 8 |
| Ohio | 2 | 7.5 |
| Akron | 3 | 5.5 |
| Bowling Green | 4 | 4 |
| Kent State | 5 | 3.5 |
| Buffalo | 6 | 3.5 |
| MAC West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| WMU | 1 | 9 |
| Toledo | 2 | 8.5 |
| CMU | 3 | 7 |
| NIU | 4 | 6 |
| EMU | 5 | 4.5 |
| Ball State | 6 | 4 |
| MWC Mountain | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Boise State | 1 | 8 |
| Wyoming | 2 | 8 |
| Colorado State | 3 | 7.5 |
| New Mexico | 4 | 5.5 |
| Air Force | 5 | 5 |
| Utah State | 6 | 4.5 |
| MWC West | Rank | Win total over/under |
| San Diego State | 1 | 9.5 |
| UNLV | 2 | 5.5 |
| Fresno State | 3 | 4 |
| Hawaii | 4 | 4 |
| Nevada | 5 | 3.5 |
| San Jose State | 6 | 3.5 |
| Sun Belt | Rank | Win total over/under |
| Appalachian State | 1 | 9.5 |
| Troy | 2 | 8.5 |
| Arkansas State | 3 | 7.5 |
| Georgia State | 4 | 6 |
| Coastal Carolina | 5 | 5.5 |
| UL-Lafayette | 6 | 5 |
| Georgia Southern | 7 | 5 |
| Idaho | 8 | 4.5 |
| South Alabama | 9 | 4 |
| New Mexico State | 10 | 3.5 |
| ULM | 11 | 3.5 |
| Texas State | 12 | 2.5 |
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