Which Four Teams Will Qualify For Champions League T20 2011 Semi-Finals?

With only four matches to be played in the Group A of the Champions League T20 and three more from the Group B, the statisticians would be out, trying to make sense of who can get to the semi-finals of the Champions League T20 this season.

Here, we give you the chances of every team to qualify for the semi-finals of the tournament.

Group A Points/Matches:

Mumbai Indians (5/3), Cape Cobras (3/3), Chennai Super Kings (2/2), New South Wales (2/2), Trinidad and Tobago (0/2).

The way things are in the group, it looks like the Trinidad and Tobago are almost out of the tournament. What could help them is that they had lost both their games off the last ball of the matches, and that means that if they can win both their remaining games, they could well have propped their net run-rate up. Easier said than done though, with their games to be played against Chennai and the Cobras.

The other two games in the group are Mumbai v Blues and Chennai v Blues.

If TT win both games, they will get up to four points, and that means that a lot will depend on the remaining two matches. If Mumbai win their game against the Blues, then, TT will tie with the winner of the Chennai-Blues game and the net run-rate will come into the picture.

On the other hand, if TT can win only one game, they will be knocked out of the tournament.

One thing is for certain; if Mumbai win their last game against the Blues, they will go through to the semi-finals at the top spot. That will also mean that the remaining four teams will then be fighting for the second spot. Then, if the Cobras can beat Trinidad and Tobago, it will need Chennai to win both their games to qualify for the next round.

Group B Points/Matches:

Warriors (4/3), Kolkata Knight Riders (4/4), Somerset (3/2), South Australia (3/3), Royal Challengers Bangalore (0/2).

This group is easier to decipher given that the number of games remaining are three.

They are:

Bangalore v Somerset,

Warriors v Somerset,

Bangalore v South Australia.

Suppose Somerset beat Bangalore, they will move up to five points from three games and Bangalore will be knocked out. Then, if Warriors beat Somerset, the former end with six points and the latter will end with five. It will boil down to the result of the last game – if Bangalore beat South Australia, then Warriors and Somerset go through, but if South Australia beat Bangalore, then Warriors go through, while the team with the better net run-rate between Somerset and South Australia qualify.

The second scenario is if Somerset beat Bangalore and also beat the Warriors. This will mean that the English side will qualify for the semi-finals with seven points, while the Warriors and Kolkata will both end on four points. Then, if South Australia beat Bangalore, they will go through to the semis while if Bangalore beat South Australia, then the battle between Warriors’ and Kolkata’s net run-rate will decide the second semi-finalists.

The third scenario is if Bangalore beat Somerset and Warriors also beat Somerset. This will mean that Somerset end on three points and are knocked out, while Warriors will have six points and will go through. The last game between Bangalore and South Australia, if won by the former will push them to four points, tied with Bangalore and one of them will qualify for the semi-finals. If this last game is won by the latter, the Redbacks will join Warriors.

The final scenario is if Bangalore beat Somerset and Somerset beat Warriors. In this case, Warriors end on four, Somerset end on five, and then, if South Australia win, they go through but if Bangalore win, there will be a tie for the second spot between Kolkata and Bangalore.

Which four teams do you think will make it to the semi-finals of the Champions League T20?