For the second straight major this year, Jason Day is your favorite at the start of the week. Day began as the 7/1 favorite at Augusta National, just slightly ahead of his “Big Three” colleagues Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth. Day was No. 1 in the world then and he’s No. 1 now, adding a Players Championship title in the intervening months. So he’ll start U.S. Open week as a 6/1 favorite, again just slightly ahead of McIlroy and Spieth.
U.S. Open odds 2016: Jason Day the favorite to win at Oakmont
The season’s second major is almost here and as expected, the “Big Three” of Jason Day, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy are your favorites to win the U.S. Open.
Richard Heathcote/Getty Images
Those three may be the clear top talents in the game these days, and their odds reflect it with the fourth man on the board (Dustin Johnson) down at 15/1. But that doesn’t mean any of these players, despite their talent, offer good value in a 156-man field. Any player that’s less than 30/1 does not offer particularly great value for a game that’s so unpredictable. The U.S. Open can be especially difficult to peg, with a player’s hopes going up in flames on one hole and the attrition sometimes rewarding random unforeseen longshots. Oakmont is the toughest course in the U.S. Open rotation and in the country, which won’t make handicapping things easier.
When Day has it working, he’s the best player in the game. He may not be as sexy or popular a name as Spieth and Rory. But he hits it just as far as Rory and is among the best in the world around and on the green, ranking No. 1 in strokes gained putting on the PGA Tour this year. Day may throttle down at times to avoid the jail that is Oakmont’s rough, but barring some catastrophic blowup hole, he should be around on Sunday. He showed up in Pittsburgh early and was the first official player to register for the national championship.
He means business. World No. 1 @JDayGolf was the first person to register on-site for the 116th #USOpen. pic.twitter.com/cClsSQzX6a
— U.S. Open (USGA) (@usopengolf) June 11, 2016
Spieth has also been in town a week early along with caddie Michael Greller. They’ve had a couple tours through the layout this spring and were out Sunday morning prepping for a week as the defending champion. Rory made a trip to Oakmont after the Memorial in nearby Columbus, then went back to Florida for a bit more practice.
Again, the value at the top is just not there. Day, Spieth and Rory are likely to play well but winning a major is another combination of luck and skill that’s hard to map and the low odds aren’t commensurate with that unpredictability. This is not the Tiger Woods era, when the 14-time major winner would start the week with outrageous odds like 3/1. There won’t be some wildly overwhelming favorite at these majors, but expect the “Big Three” to share this distinct status from the rest of the field for the final three majors this season.
Here are your odds for the field at the start of U.S. Open week (via Jeff Sherman and GolfOdds.com):
| Players | Odds to Win |
| Jason Day | 6/1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 7/1 |
| Jordan Spieth | 8/1 |
| Dustin Johnson | 15/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 25/1 |
| Justin Rose | 25/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 25/1 |
| Adam Scott | 30/1 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 30/1 |
| Henrik Stenson | 30/1 |
| Branden Grace | 30/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 40/1 |
| Danny Willett | 40/1 |
| Patrick Reed | 40/1 |
| Brooks Koepka | 40/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 40/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 40/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 50/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 60/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 60/1 |
| Paul Casey | 60/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 60/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 60/1 |
| Lee Westwood | 60/1 |
| J.B. Holmes | 60/1 |
| Kevin Chappell | 60/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 80/1 |
| Justin Thomas | 80/1 |
| Marc Leishman | 80/1 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 80/1 |
| Daniel Berger | 80/1 |
| Jimmy Walker | 100/1 |
| Kevin Kisner | 100/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 100/1 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 100/1 |
| Jason Dufner | 100/1 |
| Billy Horschel | 100/1 |
| Webb Simpson | 100/1 |
| Russell Knox | 100/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 100/1 |
| Bill Haas | 125/1 |
| Danny Lee | 125/1 |
| Byeong Hun An | 125/1 |
| Shane Lowry | 125/1 |
| Kevin Na | 125/1 |
| Luke Donald | 125/1 |
| Harris English | 125/1 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 150/1 |
| Ryan Moore | 150/1 |
| Keegan Bradley | 150/1 |
| Chris Kirk | 150/1 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 150/1 |
| Chris Wood | 150/1 |
| Brendan Steele | 150/1 |
| David Lingmerth | 200/1 |
| Scott Piercy | 200/1 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 200/1 |
| Jamie Donaldson | 200/1 |
| Ernie Els | 200/1 |
| Soren Kjeldsen | 200/1 |
| Retief Goosen | 200/1 |
| William McGirt | 200/1 |
| Smylie Kaufman | 250/1 |
| Angel Cabrera | 250/1 |
| Robert Streb | 250/1 |
| Andy Sullivan | 250/1 |
| Patton Kizzire | 250/1 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 250/1 |
| Kevin Streelman | 250/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 250/1 |
| Alex Noren | 250/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 300/1 |
| Anirban Lahiri | 300/1 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 300/1 |
| Cameron Smith | 300/1 |
| Jon Rahm | 300/1 |
| Jaco Van Zyl | 300/1 |
| James Hahn | 300/1 |
| Kyung-Tae Kim | 300/1 |
| Peter Hanson | 300/1 |
| Andrew Johnston | 300/1 |
| Romain Wattel | 300/1 |
| Gregory Bourdy | 300/1 |
| Tom Hoge | 300/1 |
| Jason Kokrak | 300/1 |
| David Toms | 300/1 |
| Thomas Aiken | 300/1 |
| Lee Slattery | 500/1 |
| Maximilian Kieffer | 500/1 |
| Matteo Manassero | 500/1 |
| Yuta Ikeda | 500/1 |
| Hideto Tanihara | 500/1 |
| Derek Fathauer | 500/1 |
| J.J. Henry | 500/1 |
| Jim Herman | 500/1 |
| Justin Hicks | 500/1 |
| Sunghoon Kang | 500/1 |
| Spencer Levin | 500/1 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 500/1 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 500/1 |
| Kevin Tway | 500/1 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 500/1 |
| Aaron Wise | 500/1 |
| Steven Bowditch | 1000/1 |
| Jeff Maggert | 1000/1 |
| Derek Bard | 1000/1 |
| Gary Stal | 1000/1 |
| Yusaku Miyazato | 1000/1 |
| Toru Taniguchi | 1000/1 |
| Soren Hansen | 1000/1 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 1000/1 |
| Jason Allred | 1000/1 |
| Charlie Danielson | 1000/1 |
| Andres Gonzales | 1000/1 |
| Nick Hardy | 1000/1 |
| Sam Horsfield | 1000/1 |
| Billy Hurley III | 1000/1 |
| Andrew Landry | 1000/1 |
| Denny McCarthy | 1000/1 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 1000/1 |
| Aron Price | 1000/1 |
| Dicky Pride | 1000/1 |
| Miguel Tabuena | 1000/1 |
| Ethan Tracy | 1000/1 |
| D.J. Trahan | 1000/1 |
| Jeev Milkha Singh | 1000/1 |
| Matthew Baldwin | 2000/1 |
| Mikael Lundberg | 2000/1 |
| Frank Adams III | 2000/1 |
| Mark Anguiano | 2000/1 |
| Matthew Borchert | 2000/1 |
| Kent Bulle | 2000/1 |
| Sam Burns | 2000/1 |
| Derek Chang | 2000/1 |
| Christopher Crawford | 2000/1 |
| Brandon Harkins | 2000/1 |
| Travis Howe | 2000/1 |
| Austin Jordan | 2000/1 |
| Gregor Main | 2000/1 |
| Matt Marshall | 2000/1 |
| Michael Miller | 2000/1 |
| Kyle Mueller | 2000/1 |
| Chase Parker | 2000/1 |
| Andrew Pope | 2000/1 |
| Tyler Raber | 2000/1 |
| Richard Schembechler II | 2000/1 |
| Wes Short Jr. | 2000/1 |
| Ryan Stachler | 2000/1 |
| Justin Suh | 2000/1 |
| Patrick Wilkes-Krier | 2000/1 |
| Thitiphun Chuayprakong | 2000/1 |
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