The second men’s major of 2018 arrives with no real overwhelming favorite to take home the national championship. Dustin Johnson is officially the favorite to win the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills a week from now, listed at 10/1. That’s where he was slotted at the start of Masters week, too, but he had company then. Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and Tiger Woods were all also 10/1 at the start of Masters week. For the U.S. Open, there’s some separation for DJ but this is still not like some prior years when a favorite to win a major would be around 6 or 7/1.
2018 U.S. Open odds: Tiger Woods, Dustin Johnson among favorites at Shinnecock
The season’s second major is here. Your odds for a loaded field at Shinnecock Hills.
Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images
Often that favorite was Tiger, the 14-time major winner and the biggest public golfer of all time. People love to put their money on Tiger and root for him to win. The money that comes in for Tiger far surpasses any other golfer and as such, the books have to lower his odds to limit their liability. Woods, in his prime, would come in sometimes as a 3 or even 2/1 favorite. That rush of public money is also why he went from longshot to favorite at the Masters after showing he could stay upright and play competitive enough golf for basically two months.
Woods enters this week at 14/1, part of a glut of stars behind DJ with second-lowest odds to win. He played well at The Players, even putting a scare into the top of the leaderboard for a moment on the weekend. He struck the ball perfectly at Memorial but posted some of the worst putting statistics of his entire career. If putts anywhere close to that bad, he has no shot at Shinnecock, even if he’s pure as it gets from tee to green again.
Tiger has almost no U.S. Open record this decade. He finished T4 in 2010 at Pebble Beach, but aside from that, it’s a few middling finishes and a bunch of n/a. This will be his first national championship since 2015, that ignominious two-day disaster at Chambers Bay. Tiger missed the cut by a mile there and did it while making some of the more embarrassing on-course shots of his career. There was that wild hack from the heather when his club went flying into the air. And there was that cold top in the 18th fairway, the kind of shot that some 20-handicap scrub makes regularly but not a pro playing the U.S. Open.
The game and health are in much better shape three years later. The odds are definitely out of whack for a player who has not won in five years, but they’re more reasonable than some of the low numbers Tiger has had when his game was absolutely garbage.
The U.S. Open features a 156-man field, compared to a Masters field that’s usually around 90 players. So finding a winner can be much more difficult. It probably makes sense to wipe out the half of the field that came through sectional qualifying, but the U.S. Open is still the kind of test that can produce a funky winner no one saw coming. At the top of U.S. Open week, here are your odds for the field, with a few alternates making to join the party in the coming days (via Jeff Sherman of GolfOdds and the Las Vegas SuperBook)
2018 U.S. Open Odds
Player | Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| Dustin Johnson | 10/1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 14/1 |
| Justin Thomas | 14/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 14/1 |
| Justin Rose | 14/1 |
| Jordan Spieth | 16/1 |
| Jason Day | 16/1 |
| Tiger Woods | 18/1 |
| Jon Rahm | 20/1 |
| Brooks Koepka | 20/1 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 25/1 |
| Patrick Reed | 30/1 |
| Henrik Stenson | 30/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 30/1 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 30/1 |
| Branden Grace | 30/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 40/1 |
| Paul Casey | 40/1 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 40/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 50/1 |
| Marc Leishman | 50/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 50/1 |
| Alex Noren | 50/1 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 50/1 |
| Adam Scott | 60/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 60/1 |
| Tony Finau | 60/1 |
| Francesco Molinari | 60/1 |
| Webb Simpson | 60/1 |
| Xander Schauffele | 80/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 80/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 80/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 100/1 |
| Brian Harman | 100/1 |
| Kevin Kisner | 100/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 100/1 |
| Cameron Smith | 100/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 100/1 |
| Jason Dufner | 100/1 |
| Jimmy Walker | 100/1 |
| Emiliano Grillo | 100/1 |
| Kyle Stanley | 100/1 |
| Aaron Wise | 100/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 100/1 |
| Daniel Berger | 125/1 |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 125/1 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 125/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 125/1 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 125/1 |
| Byeong Hun An | 125/1 |
| Si Woo Kim | 125/1 |
| Luke List | 125/1 |
| Russell Henley | 150/1 |
| Kevin Chappell | 150/1 |
| Bill Haas | 150/1 |
| Brendan Steele | 150/1 |
| Gary Woodland | 150/1 |
| Adam Hadwin | 150/1 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 150/1 |
| Shane Lowry | 150/1 |
| Keegan Bradley | 150/1 |
| Peter Uihlein | 150/1 |
| Chez Reavie | 150/1 |
| Chesson Hadley | 150/1 |
| Russell Knox | 150/1 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 150/1 |
| Ollie Schniederjans | 200/1 |
| Pat Perez | 200/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 200/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 200/1 |
| Danny Willett | 200/1 |
| Ross Fisher | 200/1 |
| Satoshi Kodaira | 200/1 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 250/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 250/1 |
| Haotong Li | 250/1 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 250/1 |
| Charles Howell III | 250/1 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 250/1 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 300/1 |
| Trey Mullinax | 300/1 |
| Alexander Levy | 300/1 |
| Sam Burns | 300/1 |
| Matt Jones | 300/1 |
| Braden Thornberry | 300/1 |
| Andrew Johnston | 300/1 |
| Matt Wallace | 300/1 |
| Brian Gay | 300/1 |
| Ernie Els | 500/1 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 500/1 |
| Dean Burmester | 500/1 |
| Ryan Fox | 500/1 |
| Harold Varner III | 500/1 |
| Scott Stallings | 500/1 |
| Brian Stuard | 500/1 |
| Richy Werenski | 500/1 |
| Roberto Castro | 500/1 |
| Lucas Herbert | 500/1 |
| Lanto Griffin | 500/1 |
| Sungjae Im | 500/1 |
| Paul Waring | 500/1 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 500/1 |
| Tyler Duncan | 500/1 |
| Tom Lewis | 500/1 |
| Matthew Southgate | 500/1 |
| Richie Ramsay | 500/1 |
| Kenny Perry | 1000/1 |
| Doug Ghim | 1000/1 |
| Wenchong Liang | 1000/1 |
| David Bransdon | 1000/1 |
| Shota Akiyoshi | 1000/1 |
| Jason Scrivener | 1000/1 |
| James Morrison | 1000/1 |
| Eric Axley | 1000/1 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 1000/1 |
| Michael Putnam | 1000/1 |
| Tim Wilkinson | 1000/1 |
| Scott Gregory | 1000/1 |
| Shintaro Ban | 1000/1 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 1000/1 |
| Will Zalatoris | 1000/1 |
| Stewart Hagestad | 1000/1 |
| Sung-joon Park | 1000/1 |
| Dylan Meyer | 1000/1 |
| Sebastian Munoz | 1000/1 |
| Theo Humphrey | 1000/1 |
| Mike Miller | 1000/1 |
| Michael Hebert | 1000/1 |
| Cole Miller | 1000/1 |
| Harry Ellis | 2000/1 |
| Noah Goodwin | 2000/1 |
| Matt Parziale | 2000/1 |
| Franklin Huang | 2000/1 |
| Rhett Rasmussen | 2000/1 |
| Chun-An Yu | 2000/1 |
| Garrett Rank | 2000/1 |
| Ryan Lumsden | 2000/1 |
| Calum Hill | 2000/1 |
| Cameron Wilson | 2000/1 |
| Mickey DeMorat | 2000/1 |
| Michael Block | 2000/1 |
| Sebastian Vazquez | 2000/1 |
| David Gazzolo | 2000/1 |
| Timothy Wiseman | 2000/1 |
| Chris Babcock | 2000/1 |
| Luis Gagne | 2000/1 |
| Tyler Strafaci | 2000/1 |
| Will Grimmer | 2000/1 |
| Philip Barbaree | 2000/1 |
| Sulman Raza | 2000/1 |
| Chris Naegel | 2000/1 |
| Jacob Bergeron | 2000/1 |
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