MLB playoff odds Sept. 16: Rangers falling, Indians surging

Taking a look at the latest MLB post-season odds from Cool Standings and Baseball Prospectus.

Sep 16, 2013, 2:50 PM UTC

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

With two weeks remaining in the regular season, five of the six divisions appear to be wrapped up, with the NL Central the only division without a heavy favorite. The Wild Card races, especially in the AL, are still hotly contested and have seen big changes in who is expected to reach the playoffs over the past week.

Here are the playoff odds in the American League:

			CoolStandings.com			Baseball Prospectus
Team	Wins	Losses	Div	WC	POFF	Div	WC	POFF
Red Sox	92	59	99.9	<0.1	100	100	0	100
Tigers	86	63	98.8	1.1	99.9	99.1	0.7	99.9
Athletics	88	61	99.7	0.3	99.9	99.4	0.6	100
Rangers	81	67	0.3	56.3	56.6	0.6	59.5	60.2
Rays	81	67	<0.1	53.0	53.0	0	71.1	71.1
Indians	81	68	1.2	68.8	69.9	0.9	53.6	54.4
Yankees	79	71	0.0	6.5	6.5	0	4.5	4.5
Orioles	79	70	0.0	5.9	5.9	0	5.6	5.6
Royals	78	71	<0.1	8.1	8.1	0.1	4.3	4.3

The Athletics completed a three-game sweep over the Rangers, all but clinching the AL West.Â Last Monday, Texas still had a 29.6 percent chance of winning the division, but six straight losses have dropped their chances of winning the division 29.3 percent and their overall playoff odds 35.3 percent.

The Indians have greatly increased their playoff odds since last Monday, going 5-2 over the past week. Cleveland's winning streak combined with struggles in Tampa Bay and Texas have helped raise the Indians' playoff odds 40.9 percent.

Team	Wins	Losses	Div	WC	POFF	Div	WC	POFF
Braves	89	60	99.9	<0.1	99.9	100	0	100
Dodgers	86	63	99.9	0	99.9	100	0	100
Cardinals	87	62	59.5	40.4	99.9	53.8	46.1	99.9
Pirates	87	62	36.3	63.5	99.9	39.9	60.1	100
Reds	84	66	4.2	92.7	96.9	6.3	90.7	97.0
Nationals	79	70	<0.1	3.3	3.3	0.0	3.1	3.1

The Pirates and Cardinals remain tied atop the NL Central, but a Reds loss on Sunday put the division further out of reach for Cincinnati. The Reds had a 26.5 percent chance of winning the division last week while the Pirates only had a 13.5 percent chance, but Cincinnati went 2-4 while Pittsburgh went 6-1, shaking up the division.

The Nationals continue to hang around, thanks to an 11-3 record in Sept. They will start a key three-game series against the Braves on Monday, who have had Washington’s number all year; the Nationals enter Monday 4-12 against Atlanta.