Skip to main content
Come Fan with UsSunday, June 21, 2026

The rejuvenated Marlins and Giancarlo Stanton are making tough decisions easy for the new owners

It turns out when you have a guy who hits a home run every night, your team wins more games.

San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres v Miami Marlins
Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images

The Marlins started the month of May five games behind the Nationals. Then Miami went 3-17 over their first 20 games that month, giving them the worst record in baseball. They were caught in limbo, between Jeffrey Loria and Derek Jeter, the old era and the new era, and they were really, really bad.

If this scenario had continued, the new owners would have come in in after spending $1.2 billion, looked around, and realized the team was an unwatchable mess. There would be a way to get rid of a financial obligation that was the rough equivalent of one-fifth of the final sale price, no questions asked. Pull a lever, and poof, a quarter-billion commitment was off the books. The details were kind of important, but don’t underestimate the enormity of what the new Marlins owners could do to improve their ledgers immediately.

When the Marlins had that 3-17 stretch, Giancarlo Stanton was doing ... fine. He was hitting .256 with a .331 on-base percentage. He had hit 11 home runs over his first 40 games, which was ... fine. His $300 million contract looked like a mistake, though, a gamble based on the upward trajectory of his career, his youth, and the historical comparisons that were easy to wring out when he was 24 years old.

If new owners came in, stripped the club for parts, and started over with their own vision, I’m not going to suggest that Marlins fans would be thrilled to see a third dismantling, but it would have been understandable, at least, with the added benefit of Loria being gone.

However, things have changed. Oh, how things have changed.

You know about Stanton, and how he tore off The Kurgan’s head with his bare hands to absorb his power. He’s the story of Major League Baseball right now, which has to make absolutely everyone at New York headquarters giddy. It was just last year that I wrote about how Stanton was the perfect face of MLB, but the rules of the game made it impossible for one player to matter all that much because it’s not like someone could hit a homer every game. He’s out to prove that assumption wrong, and bless him for it.

If you want to follow Stanton’s chase to 62 because that’s the real record, go for it, even if you’re both wrong. Stanton’s renaissance goes beyond his absurd pace, though. It turns out that the Marlins actually win baseball games when Stanton hits a billion home runs.

NL East on May 19, 2017

Tm

W

L

W-L%

GB

RS

RA

pythW-L%

WSN25160.61--2411980.589
ATL17220.43671812060.441
NYM17230.4257.51982200.452
PHI15240.38591801950.463
MIA14270.341111652100.391

NL East since May 20, 2017

Tm

W

L

W-L%

GB

RS

RA

pythW-L%

WSN53350.602--4373480.603
MIA52360.59114504110.541
ATL40490.44913.54044500.451
NYM40500.444144014430.455
PHI33570.367213504520.385

Over their last 88 games, more than a half-season, the Marlins have been the Nationals, more or less. They’ve outplayed every team in the AL. They would lead the second wild card by 7½ games if the season started on May 20. They turned their season around, and now they have baseball’s biggest story, too. Those two things are very closely linked.

And now, instead of wondering how much the Marlins would need to include if they wanted to trade Stanton and clean up the ledgers for the new guys, it’s time to wonder just how close this Marlins team is to being a perennial contender.

Start with Stanton, who is still owed $295 million over the next 10 years ... unless he’s owed $77 million over the next three years, when he opts out. If you think that’s silly, imagine him doing this for three more years. He would get more than $218 million on the open market. Regardless, all that we know is that Stanton is around for the Marlins for a decade if both sides want it, and it turns out that he’s really, really, really good.

Related

Move to his outfield counterparts, Christian Yelich (under contract through 2022) and Marcell Ozuna (Under contract through 2019). Yelich is one of the more underrated players in baseball, and Ozuna is one of the more underrated stories of 2017. While the focus is on Stanton, and rightfully so, Ozuna has shown gains in his power, patience, and average, and even the defensive stats like him again this year.

Yelich is 25, Ozuna is 26, and Stanton is 27. This is the closest we’ve come to Bell-Moseby-Barfield since the original, except it’s not even sacrilegious to suggest that none of those Blue Jays were as good as Stanton. This could be the best outfield of three generations. (I see you Red Sox fans. Get your own article.)

Now consider that J.T. Realmuto has quietly become one of the best two-way catchers in the game, and he’s just 26 and under contract through 2020.

That’s half of the lineup taken care of, and when you average out the salaries, it looks like a very reasonably priced start to a team, just with Stanton picking up most of the tabs at the club. This gets us to the biggest point of all. While we’ve heard over and over again about how the new Marlins owners might want to shed Stanton’s contract and start fresh, the reality of the team’s payroll situation isn’t dire or grim.

Here’s the total of all the Marlins’ guaranteed contracts over the next five years:

2018 - $95M
2019 - $84M
2020 - $74M
2021 - $60M
2022 - $30M

Compared to other teams, that’s actually pretty substantial. It doesn’t include the money they’ll pay to players like Realmuto in arbitration, or the options they’ll likely pick up for Yelich. But look at those commitments through the eyes of new owners, hungry to build positive vibes in Miami.

Look at those commitments of those new owners watching the Marlins over the last three months and thinking, goodness, this team is already outstanding.

The Marlins are 4½ games behind the second wild card, so they’re not likely to shock the world this year. And they still have a lot of work to do — their pitching, specifically, features some high-priced flops — before they can be preseason favorites. That work will probably require money, as the Marlins aren’t swimming in tradable prospects, and money might not be something the new owners will want to part with right away. Which is why the Stanton rumors exist in the first place.

But the Marlins are suddenly winning, and that changes everything. Jeter and company will want to build trust, and the best way to do that is by keeping one of baseball’s greatest gifts around, even if he’s expensive, and using his dingers to win more baseball games than the other teams. These last three months have been a proof of concept for the Marlins, then. Keeping Stanton would be the best way to win. Winning would be the best way to make money. Making money and having fun doing it is the reason all of these millionaires and billionaires are involved in the first place.

Stanton and the resurgent Marlins are showing them exactly how that’s possible, and they’re doing it at the perfect time.

See More:

More in MLB

MLB
Oklahoma-Georgia gave us an incredible family moment at the Men’s College World SeriesOklahoma-Georgia gave us an incredible family moment at the Men’s College World Series
MLB

Kolby Branch’s final collegiate swing capped off a bittersweet night for the Branch family in Omaha

By Mark Schofield
MLB
Men’s College World Series 2026: Schedule, scores, and how to watchMen’s College World Series 2026: Schedule, scores, and how to watch
MLB

Here is everything you need to know about the 2026 Men’s College World Series, from the full schedule to how to watch

By Mark Schofield
MLB
Owen Hull and UNC knock off West Virginia to advance to the MCWS FinalsOwen Hull and UNC knock off West Virginia to advance to the MCWS Finals
MLB

UNC is headed to the Men’s College World Series Finals after knocking off West Virginia in Omaha

By Mark Schofield
MLB
Men’s College World Series: Joey Volchko dominates as Georgia knocks off TexasMen’s College World Series: Joey Volchko dominates as Georgia knocks off Texas
MLB

Georgia’s Joey Volchko was dominant as the Bulldogs knocked off Texas to open their MCWS

By Mark Schofield
MLB
Men’s College World Series: Gavin Gallaher, Colin Hynek deliver for UNC vs. Ole MissMen’s College World Series: Gavin Gallaher, Colin Hynek deliver for UNC vs. Ole Miss
MLB

Gavin Gallaher’s first career MCWS hit came at a perfect time for UNC against Ole Miss

By Mark Schofield
MLB
Men’s College World Series 2026: One key player for each teamMen’s College World Series 2026: One key player for each team
MLB

Here is one key player to watch on each team at the Men’s College World Series

By Mark Schofield