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Come Fan with UsSaturday, July 18, 2026

2011 NBA Draft Lottery Odds: Timberwolves, Cavaliers Lead The Way

The 2011 NBA Draft Lottery is set for 8:30 p.m. on Tuesday. Twelve teams have a chance to win the No. 1 pick in the June draft -- and with it a chance to draft Kyrie Irving, Derrick Williams or another prospect. But not all chances are created equal. To prevent outright tanking, the NBA has a weighted lottery that gives the worst teams the best opportunity to win the No. 1, 2 or 3 pick, but doesn’t make it a certainty.

Below are the odds that each team will win the No. 1 pick or a top three pick. (Only the top three picks are up for grabs.)

Team No. 1 Pick Top 3 Pick
Timberwolves 25.0% 64.3%
Cavaliers 19.9% 55.8%
Raptors 15.6% 46.9%
Wizards 11.9% 37.8%
Kings 7.6% 25.4%
Jazz (from Nets) 7.5% 25.3%
Pistons 4.3% 15.0%
Cavs (from Clippers) 2.8% 10.0%
Bobcats 1.7% 6.1%
Bucks 1.1% 4.0%
Warriors 0.8% 2.9%
Jazz 0.7% 2.5%
Suns 0.6% 2.2%
Rockets 0.5% 1.8%

Once the top three picks are determined, the remainder of the top 14 picks in the draft will be arranged by reverse order of regular season record.

Be sure to follow this StoryStream for full coverage of the NBA Draft Lottery.

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