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NFL playoff picture: What Bills win over Jets means for AFC standings in Week 18

The Bills face the Jets in Buffalo on Sunday. We break down what the game means for the NFL playoff picture in Week 18.

Kansas City Chiefs v Buffalo Bills - NFL 2025
Kansas City Chiefs v Buffalo Bills - NFL 2025
Getty Images

Game results: The Bills played quite a few reserves in week 18, but it made no difference as they crushed the Jets on Sunday. Buffalo clinched the No. 6 seed with this win coupled with the Chargers losing to the Broncos. They’ll face the Jaguars in the first round as Broncos and Patriots secured the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds, respectively.


The Buffalo Bills are headed to the 2026 NFL Playoffs, but they won’t know their position until the later afternoon on Sunday. The Bills host the New York Jets with kickoff set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a 7.5-point favorite heading into game day, but that number could move depending on how the 1 p.m. window goes and what the team decides to do with its starters.

Buffalo Bills playoff picture

The Bills head into Sunday sitting in seventh place in the conference standings. They’re tied with the Texans and Chargers for the three wild card berths. Houston has the head-to-head tiebreaker sweep of both teams. LA has the common games tiebreaker over Buffalo.

The Bills are locked into a wild card berth, and they could end up anywhere from the No. 5 to the No. 7 seed. The Texans face the Colts in the 1 p.m. window, while the Chargers and Bills play the Broncos and Jets, respectively, in the 4 p.m. window. The Bills playoff scenarios are as follows, courtesy of NFL Playoff Scenarios. We removed all that involve a tie being exclusively required.

Bills earn the No. 5 seed with:
  • Bills win + Chargers loss/tie + Texans loss/tie
  • Bills win + Chargers loss/tie + Jaguars loss
Bills earn the No. 6 seed with:
  • Bills win + Chargers loss/tie + Texans win + Jaguars win/tie
  • Bills win + Chargers win + Texans loss/tie
  • Bills win + Chargers win + Jaguars loss + 4 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, MIN, SEA, LAR, MIA, PIT)
Bills earn the No. 7 seed with:
  • Bills loss
  • Chargers win + Texans win + Jaguars win/tie
  • Chargers win + Texans win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (NYG, WAS, GB, ARI, SF, NE, BAL)

Tiebreaker implications

No tiebreaker implications.

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